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LatAm stocks up 1.1%, FX up 0.8%
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Brazil inflation seen below 5% in October - poll
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Chilean presidential election is later in the weekend
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Peru's rate decision due on Thursday
(Updates with afternoon trading)
By Nikhil Sharma and Sukriti Gupta
Nov 10 (Reuters) - Latin American assets started the
week on a stronger note on Monday, tracking upbeat momentum in
global markets, as investors cheered initial signs that the
historic U.S. government shutdown could soon come to an end.
MSCI's index for Latin American equities
jumped 1.1% to a near two-year high following a strong prior
week.
Global risk sentiment improved after the U.S. Senate on
Sunday advanced a measure aimed at reopening the federal
government and funding it through January to end a shutdown that
has reached its historic duration.
The renewed appetite for risky assets weighed on the U.S.
dollar, down 0.15%, allowing currencies in EM to shine. A
broader gauge for LatAm currencies jumped about
0.8% to an all-time high.
"(The shutdown end) will be relatively good news. It will
ease some pressures that we have seen on the market and perhaps
will help risk assets and bring some sort of stability in Latin
currencies," said Andres Abadia, chief LatAm Economist at
Pantheon Macroeconomics.
"This situation overall gives some support to commodity
prices, perhaps copper and other metals that are very important
for the region."
Meanwhile, Argentina's main equity index climbed
2.5%, while the local peso lost 0.3%. Economy
Minister Luis Caputo said Argentina plans to repurchase
sovereign bonds and rebuild foreign reserves, Bloomberg News
reported on Saturday.
Argentine dollar bonds jumped on Monday, with 2030 maturity
rising 1.7 cents on the dollar. The country's
markets have rallied since President Javier Milei's midterm
election win last month, solidifying investor confidence in his
economic overhaul.
In Brazil, the local real rose 0.5% to hit an over
one-month high. The currency strengthened 0.7% last week after
the central bank kept rates on hold and signaled a hawkish bias
for further pauses to bring inflation back to its 3.0% target,
with a tolerance band of ±1.5 percentage points.
According to a Reuters poll, Brazil's annual inflation is
expected to have fallen below 5% for the first time in nine
months in October. Official data are due on Tuesday.
Sao Paulo's main stock index rose 0.8% to a record
high, on pace to mark its 14th straight day of gains - its
longest winning streak in three decades. For the year, the index
is up 28.9%, highlighting investors' appetite for developing
markets, with cheaper valuations and higher yields, seen as
undervalued after periods of underperformance.
Colombia benchmark index has gained about 50% this
year - eyeing its best year since 2009. It was down 0.3% on
Monday ahead of October inflation data due later in the day. The
local peso was up 0.7%.
A key highlight this week will be Chile's presidential
election, scheduled for the weekend. The ruling leftist
coalition's candidate, Jeannette Jara of the Communist Party, is
leading in the latest polls for the first round on November 16
but could lose a runoff to either of two right-wing opposition
candidates.
Chile's peso was up 0.7%, boosted by higher copper
prices. The Santiago stock index jumped 0.6%.
Peru braced for an interest rate decision later this week
amid wider expectations that its central bank will maintain the
key rate on hold at 4.25%.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Equities Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1400.14 1.34
MSCI LatAm 2664.11 1.05
Brazil Bovespa 155226.81 0.76
Mexico IPC 63198.59 -0.28
Chile IPSA 9660.17 0.57
Argentina Merval 2935768.19 2.48
Colombia COLCAP 2075.1 -0.3
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.3082 0.45
Mexico peso 18.3798 0.33
Chile peso 937.56 0.71
Colombia peso 3750.64 0.71
Peru sol 3.3664 0.25
Argentina peso (interbank) 1419.5 -0.32
Argentina peso (parallel) 1405 -7.82