* LatAm stocks gain 1.3%, FX gain 0.7% to near one-month
highs
* U.S. inflation comes in softer-than-expected
* Rising commodity prices support LatAm equities
(Updates with afternoon trading levels)
By Utkarsh Hathi, Purvi Agarwal and Shashwat Chauhan
July 14 (Reuters) - Most Latin American assets rose on
Tuesday as a softer-than-expected U.S. inflation report weighed
on the dollar, while higher commodity prices supported markets
in the resource-rich region.
Data showed U.S. consumer inflation slowed more than
expected in June, prompting traders to scale back expectations
for a Federal Reserve rate hike later this month. However, the
moderation was not sufficient to take a hike off the table in
2026.
"A summer soft patch in U.S. data could temper expectations
for imminent Fed rate hikes," TD Securities analysts said in a
note.
"We still expect some residual USD strength in Q3 as
positioning normalizes and geopolitical uncertainty helps the
dollar regain some relative haven appeal."
Investors remained wary as the U.S.-Iran conflict threatened
to keep energy prices elevated after the U.S. reinstated a naval
blockade of Iran and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz
remained uncertain. Oil prices rose 2% to a four-week high.
Latin American currencies, among the highest-yielding in
emerging markets, have benefited from carry trade appetite as
rate differentials stay wide. However, central banks in top
economies like Brazil and Mexico have been reducing their
lending rates from historic highs lately.
"Carry is still a theme in Latam, but idiosyncratic risks
have become a more relevant driver for the country selection in
the region," J.P.Morgan analysts said in a note. The brokerage
also upgraded its rating on the Colombian peso to "overweight",
matching its rating on the Mexican and Chilean pesos.
On Tuesday, the Brazilian real gained the most,
rising 1.3% to its highest level in close to a month. Stocks in
the region's largest economy gained 0.4%, with miner Vale
adding 1.7%.
Focus was also on a possible decision regarding U.S. tariffs
on Brazilian imports, which analysts said could come as soon as
this week.
Currencies in Chile and Mexico appreciated
0.8% and 0.5% respectively. Chile's stocks added 0.4%,
tracking copper prices that hit a three-week high.
Mexico's benchmark gained the most, rising 0.9% as
higher copper prices lifted Mexico's Grupo Mexico
by 4%.
Colombia's peso was an outlier, weakening 0.3%, while
its stocks fell 0.5%.
The broader MSCI Latin American currency index
rose 0.7%, while its stocks counterpart
climbed 1.3%.
Latin America's performance stands apart from Asia, where
heavy inflows into AI-aligned stocks have driven this year's
rally.
That same AI exposure, however, makes Asian markets more
susceptible to sharp pullbacks when enthusiasm wanes, a risk
Latin America has largely avoided.
The Argentine peso gained 0.9%. Data showed
Argentina's monthly inflation rate slowed for the third
consecutive month to 1.9% in June, though the 12-month rate
continued to climb.
Meanwhile, Venezuela will tweak its macroeconomic and debt
framework to incorporate the economic impact of last month's
earthquakes, economic adviser Calixto Ortega said on Monday.
Elsewhere in emerging markets, S&P Dow Jones Indices said it
is consulting on re-classifying Poland from "emerging" to a
"developed" market status and Egypt from "emerging" to
"frontier" status.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Stock indexes Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging 1653.78 0.26
Markets
MSCI LatAm 3036.67 1.34
Brazil Bovespa 176455.22 0.41
Mexico IPC 66540.7 0.86
Chile IPSA 10974.57 0.42
Argentina MerVal 3220551.29 -0.46
Colombia COLCAP 2296.15 -0.5
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.0728 1.25
Mexico peso 17.4285 0.52
Chile peso 925.5 0.75
Colombia peso 3246.34 -0.32
Peru sol 3.3904 0.55
Argentina 1,470.00 0.88
peso
(interbank)
Argentina 1,500.00 1.64
peso
(parallel)