*
Consumer prices in Brazil up by less than expected in
March
*
Chile to cut interest rate to 6% at next meeting, poll
suggests
*
Latam currencies fall 1.0%, EM currencies off 0.3%
By Bansari Mayur Kamdar
April 10 (Reuters) - Currencies in Latin America fell on
Wednesday, tracking the global risk-off mood and as the dollar
rallied after a stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation print
tempered hopes for interest-rate cuts in the world's largest
economy.
The MSCI index for Latin American currencies
shed 1.0%.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against six rivals, jumped 0.9%, as traders slashed bets the Fed
will cut interest rates in June after the U.S. Consumer Price
Index (CPI) rose 0.4% on a monthly basis in March, compared with
the 0.3% increase.
"Should the Fed get backed into a corner and hold rates
steady longer than expected, we should expect some volatility in
the currency markets," said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist for
LPL Financial.
Chile's peso shed 1.7% against the dollar, leading
losses in the region.
Chile's central bank is expected to lower its benchmark
interest rate by 50 basis points to 6% at its next meeting at
the end of May, according to a poll of analysts released by the
monetary authority.
The carry trade, which involves borrowing in a low interest
rate currency to invest in a higher yielding one, has been
effective for years and has particularly benefited currencies in
Latin America, but its strength is waning as some regional
central banks start to cut rates.
Analysts in a Reuters poll last week said the narrowing in
interest rate gaps between emerging markets and developed
markets would weaken currencies in the developing world.
Colombia's peso fell 1.2% against the greenback and
was on track for its worst daily performance since January,
while the Brazilian real slid 1.1% against the dollar.
Data showed consumer prices in Brazil as measured by the
benchmark IPCA index, rose less than expected in March, with
12-month inflation dropping below 4% for the first time since
the middle of last year.
Brazil's energy minister Alexandre Silveira said on Tuesday
that he respects Petrobras' Chief Executive Jean Paul
Prates, and that any decision regarding the CEO is to be made by
Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva.
Stocks in Brazil fell 0.6%, while the broader Latam
shares index slid 1.4%.
The broader emerging market stocks index pared
early gains after the U.S. CPI data and inched slightly higher,
while emerging market currencies eased 0.3%.
Fitch cut its outlook on China's sovereign credit rating to
negative, citing risks to public finances as the economy faces
increasing uncertainty in its shift to new growth models.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** South Korea opposition set for big win in legislative
election in blow to Yoon
** Czech inflation stays at 2% target
** Thai central bank holds key rate, defies government calls
for cuts
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 1412 GMT:
Stock indexes Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1056.36 0.09
MSCI LatAm 2548.29 -1.44
Brazil Bovespa 129180.61 -0.55
Mexico IPC 57180.41 -0.68
Chile IPSA 6681.67 0.18
Argentina MerVal 0.00 0
Colombia COLCAP 1424.17 1.11
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.0627 -1.12
Mexico peso 16.4533 -0.43
Chile peso 958 -1.78
Colombia peso 3812.38 -1.12
Peru sol 3.7062 -0.72
Argentina peso (interbank) 865.0000 0.00
Argentina peso (parallel) 980 0.51