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IMF lowers bar for Argentina's reserve accumulation target
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Markets increase bets on September Fed rate cut
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Colombia bonds rise after cash repurchase offer
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MSCI Latam FX up 0.7%, stocks gain 0.83%
(Updates with afternoon levels)
By Purvi Agarwal and Ragini Mathur
Aug 4 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies
strengthened against the dollar on Monday, as U.S. economic
worries led to higher prospects of interest rate cuts, while
some caution over tariffs remained.
MSCI's index tracking Latam currencies was
up 0.7%, trading at its highest in over one week.
Chile's peso appreciated 0.4% against the greenback,
with rising copper prices also boosting the currency.
Colombia's peso was up 0.6%. Colombia's global
dollar-denominated bonds also rose on the day after the
government offered cash to buy back maturities between 2030 and
2061.
Argentina's peso gained 0.4%. The International
Monetary Fund lowered the bar for Argentina's reserve
accumulation targets through 2026 in its $20 billion program on
Friday.
Brazil's real gained 0.8%, in line with peers. The
country's government has set aside for now plans for direct
retaliation against steep U.S. tariffs taking effect this week,
focusing instead on a relief package for industries hit hardest
by the levies.
Brazil faces 50% tariffs on exports to the U.S., from August
7, a new deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump last week.
Trump also extended the negotiating deadline with Mexico by
another 90 days last week, providing some relief to the U.S.
southern neighbor.
Mexican peso was the only major Latin American
currency to weaken on the day, slipping 0.2% against the dollar.
"If you look at the price action recently, the Mexican
peso has shown particular resilience on a global scale," said
Alejandro Cuadrado, global head of FX and Latam strategy at
BBVA.
"Continued and heavier long positioning in the peso has
helped it stand out, and I think now we're seeing a bit of a
catch up of the rest versus the Mexican Peso".
The dollar index was slightly higher on Monday,
recovering some of the declines from its over 1% fall on Friday,
following events that highlighted the fragility of the greenback
- a dismal U.S. jobs report and the subsequent firing of a top
statistics official by Trump.
Also, the
resignation of Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler on
Friday opened up room for Trump to appoint a replacement, amid
strained relations with Fed Chair Jerome Powell and repeated
calls for lower interest rates.
This revived some bets on a September interest rate cut from
the Federal Reserve.
"The recent developments have contributed to resumption of
dollar softness, a compression in yields and that in general is
positive for emerging markets and in particular for risk, as
long as you're not pricing higher chances of recession, which
obviously the stock market is not pricing today," Cuadrado said.
Regional equities capitalized on the optimism, with MSCI's
gauge of regional equities up 0.83%.
Heavyweight Brazilian equities were up 0.4%, while
ones in Mexico were down 0.4%.
Shares of Walmart's Mexico unit slipped 1.1% on
Monday after the company announced on Friday that its chief
executive would step down.
Stocks in Chile and Argentina were 0.6%
and 0.4% higher, respectively.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latin American market
prices from Reuters
MSCI Emerging Markets 1237.05 0.89
MSCI LatAm 2243.4 0.83
Brazil Bovespa 132973.26 0.4
Mexico IPC 56685.03 -0.38
Chile IPSA 8212.93 0.63
Argentina Merval 2287328.8 0.37
8
Colombia COLCAP 1751.55 0
Brazil real 5.5 0.75
Mexico peso 18.889 -0.19
Chile peso 965.22 0.4
Colombia peso 4098.07 0.59
Peru sol 3.5644 0.44
Argentina peso (interbank) 1358
0.41
Argentina peso (parallel) 1310 -1.15