*
Investors monitor Trump's tax cut bill, trade deals
*
Chile picks Jeannette Jara as incumbent presidential
candidate
*
MSCI Latam FX up 0.9%, stocks 1.7%
(Updates with afternoon trading levels)
By Purvi Agarwal and Shashwat Chauhan
June 30 (Reuters) -
Most Latin American currencies edged higher on Monday as the
dollar weakened, with Brazil's real and the Mexican peso
reaching multi-month highs as investors awaited progress in
trade negotiations between the U.S. and its trade partners ahead
of the July tariff deadline.
MSCI's index tracking Latin American currencies
was last up 0.9%. The index has gained nearly
18% in the six months of 2025, its most since 2009.
The dollar index was pinned at its lowest since March
2022 as investors expected a dovish tilt from the Federal
Reserve and increasing chances that President Donald Trump's tax
cut bill - which is expected to add to the already high U.S.
fiscal debt - will be signed into law.
Investors are also awaiting any trade deals out of the U.S.,
as a July deadline for tariffs looms, and as Canada and the U.S.
are set to resume briefly stalled trade talks.
"Global uncertainty, especially on geopolitical and
commercial issues, has been creating a complex and atypical
environment for Latin America in 2025," BBVA analysts said in a
note.
"This has led to high market volatility, caution from
monetary policy, and broader than normal ranges when forecasting
economic variables."
Most Latin American currencies swung higher in the face
of a globally weaker dollar, with Brazil's real rising
almost 1% to touch its highest level in over eight months.
Financial analysts expect heightened volatility in
trading the real as the local central bank is set to publish the
end-of-month Ptax rate on Monday. The Ptax rate serves as a
reference for settling futures contracts.
Mexico's peso appreciated 0.3% to touch its
highest level since August 2024, on track to register a sixth
month of gains, its longest winning streak since 2023.
Chile's peso also strengthened 0.9%, set for its
sixth successive monthly advance, its longest gaining streak
since 2009.
Chileans overwhelmingly elected Jeannette Jara, the
country's former labor minister, on Sunday to be the incumbent
government's candidate and face off against a field of
right-wing contenders in November's presidential elections.
Emerging market assets have had a good year so far, as
investors looked to move out of U.S. assets due to uncertainty
driven by Trump's tariffs and concerns over the United States'
mounting fiscal debt.
Brazil's real and the Mexican peso are some of the top
performing emerging market currencies so far this year, likely
benefiting from a higher interest rate differential with the
U.S. and a less-than-feared hit from Trump's tariffs.
MSCI's stocks gauge also tracked Wall Street
higher, on pace for its best six-month showing since 2009.
Shares of Argentina's YPF dropped more than 5%
after a U.S. judge ordered Argentina to give up its 51% stake in
the oil and gas company to partially satisfy a $16.1 billion
court judgment.
Markets in Colombia were closed for a public holiday.
Elsewhere in emerging markets, Taiwan's dollar fell
2.5% against the greenback, to its lowest level since early
June, with bank traders pointing to an aggressive intervention
by the central bank to sell the Taiwan dollar at the end of the
second quarter.
HIGHLIGHTS
**
IMF to provide Ukraine with $500 million after review
** Ecuador to receive $1 billion foreign investment linked
to renewable energy
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1223.25 -0.43
MSCI LatAm 2350.05 1.72
Brazil Bovespa 139084.97 1.62
Mexico IPC 57410.42 0.03
Argentina Merval 1993035.3 -2.354
Chile IPSA 8248.18 0.43
Colombia COLCAP -
-
Brazil real 5.4326 0.95
Mexico peso 18.7574 0.3
Chile peso 931.43 0.87
Colombia peso -
-
Peru sol 3.541 0.23
Argentina peso 1203 -1.16
(interbank)
Argentina peso (parallel) 1195 1.26