* Mexican central bank trims growth forecast to 1.1% from
1.6%
* US-Mexico launch USMCA negotiations, US demands new
origin rules
* Brazil's David strikes hawkish tone, raises doubts over
easing
* MSCI LatAm FX up 0.6%, stocks down 0.7%
(Updates with afternoon levels)
By Avinash P and Purvi Agarwal
May 28 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies pared
earlier losses on Thursday as investors weighed reports of a
potential breakthrough in U.S.-Iran talks aimed at ending the
war, while regional stocks were mixed as domestic developments
kept markets uneven.
Axios first reported that the U.S. and Iran were considering
a 60-day truce, during which negotiations over Tehran's nuclear
program would take place.
The proposal still requires approval from U.S. President
Donald Trump, the report said. The development came a day after
the two sides traded airstrikes.
Oil prices turned negative after the report, while the
dollar index slipped 0.3%.
"The bullish sentiment in LatAm has been there for some time
now because of their heavy commodity exposure and metal mining
leverage... much of it has already been priced in," said Lale
Akoner, global market strategist at eToro.
"So, we don't see much upside momentum on the effects based
on recent news about the U.S. and Iran possibly moving towards
an agreement ... it is very volatile and changes on a day-to-day
basis."
Mexico's peso appreciated 0.3%, while local stocks
were down 1.6%.
Mexico and the United States began formal talks on the
USMCA, the existing North American free-trade agreement, with
Washington seeking a new standard to measure origin content for
vehicles made in Mexico.
The Bank of Mexico lowered its 2026 economic growth forecast
to 1.1% from 1.6%, warning that uncertainty tied to the
negotiations could weigh on investment in the second half of the
year.
Brazil's real rose 0.6%, while the Bovespa
was down 0.3%. The country's central bank will not allow higher
inflation expectations to feed into actual inflation, monetary
policy director Nilton David said, striking a hawkish tone.
Brazil's central government, meanwhile, posted a
larger-than-expected primary surplus for April, Treasury data
showed, as stronger revenue outweighed higher social security
spending.
Colombia's peso weakened 0.2%, while the country's
COLCAP stock index also lost 0.3%.
Investors are awaiting the first round of Colombia's
presidential election, scheduled for the weekend, with polls
pointing to a tight race between leftist Ivan Cepeda and
right-wing candidate Abelardo De La Espriella.
Cepeda has pledged to deepen the economic and social reforms
of current President Gustavo Petro, while De La Espriella has
proposed incentives for private investors and measures to boost
the mining and energy sectors. Analysts expect more pro-growth
policies if the right-wing candidate wins.
Chile's equities gained 0.5%, partly tracking
higher copper prices, while the peso appreciated 0.6%.
MSCI's index of Latin American currencies
reversed earlier losses to trade 0.6% higher, while the regional
stocks gauge was flat.
Markets also digested U.S. data showing inflation increased
in April at its fastest pace in three years. Still, the figures
did little to alter expectations that the Federal Reserve will
ease monetary policy later this year.
"The U.S. data suggest the Fed is unlikely to make policy
more restrictive anytime soon, and that should ease pressure on
Latin American markets," said Andres Abadia, chief LatAm
economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Stock indexes
Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1727.8 -0.65
MSCI LatAm 3061.74 -0.07
Brazil Bovespa 175276.89 -0.27
Mexico IPC 68895.21 -1.61
Chile IPSA 10889.35 0.46
Argentina MerVal 3077391.89 0.18
Colombia COLCAP 2187.2 -0.34
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.0282 0.6
Mexico peso 17.3071 0.27
Chile peso 888.63 0.56
Colombia peso 3633.5 -0.19
Peru sol 3.407 -0.07
Argentina peso 1,409.0 0.25
(interbank)
Argentina peso 1,410.0 2.08
(parallel)