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U.S. job growth slows in July, dollar tumbles
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IMF disburses $2 bln to Argentina
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El Salvador's ruling party passes election bill
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MSCI EM stocks, FX head for weekly declines
(Updates to afternoon hours)
By Ankita Yadav and Johann M Cherian
Aug 1 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies firmed
on Friday as the dollar tumbled after signs of a cooling U.S.
labor market complicated the Federal Reserve's policy path,
while investors also scrutinized the latest U.S. tariff
comments.
U.S. job growth slowed more than expected in July while the
prior month's figures were revised sharply lower, data showed,
indicating that the labor market could be showing signs of
stalling, adding to some hopes of an interest rate cut in
September.
"A higher likelihood of lower U.S. rates can make the dollar
relatively less attractive and that is a very favorable headwind
for Latin American currencies; we are seeing quite a bit of
relief" said Pablo Riveroll, fund manager & global head of
equities research at Schroders.
The dollar index edged down 0.9% following the data,
boosting most emerging market currencies. The MSCI index
tracking Latin America currencies was up 0.4%,
set for marginal gains this week.
Still, a recovery in the dollar this week after a
U.S.-European Union trade deal hit the euro had stalled the
momentum in emerging markets, with broader indexes tracking
developing market stocks and currencies
heading for weekly declines.
Meanwhile, investors globally were also grappling with a
fresh set of U.S. tariffs imposed on dozens of trade partners,
that will come into effect on August 7.
In Latin America, Brazil's real was up 0.8% and was
on track for its biggest one-week rise in over a month as the
country secured exemptions from 50% U.S. tariffs on key exports.
The local government expects to announce next week measures
of a contingency plan it has been preparing to help businesses
to cope with the levies.
"We're partly getting used to these deadlines that can get
extended... more relevant are the items that were exempted,
there was initially a very aggressive stance against Brazil and
now when we saw the details there were lots of key exports
exempted," said Riveroll.
On the flip side, Mexico's peso was down 0.4%, a day
after Trump extended the tariff negotiation deadline for Mexico
by 90 days, as investors priced in a potential interest rate cut
by the local central bank next week. The peso was headed for a
weekly decline, an outlier among peers.
Colombia's peso strengthened 1.2%, the most among
peers. The currency was set for a weekly gain after three weeks
of declines.
Chile's currency followed with a 0.3% gain. Economic
activity rose at an annualized 3.1% in June, data showed,
missing estimates.
Argentina's peso was up 0.9% after the
International Monetary Fund board completed its first review of
the $20 billion program with Argentina and approved a
disbursement of about $2 billion in funds. Stocks,
however, declined 1.8%.
Equities in the region were broadly lower, with ones in
Colombia and Mexico down 1.2% and 0.6%
respectively.
Meanwhile, El Salvador's dollar bonds were marginally lower
after the ruling party passed a bill to overhaul how elections
are run in the Central American nation, opening the door for
President Nayib Bukele to serve another term.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latin American market prices
from Reuters
MSCI Emerging Markets 1229.2 -1.13
MSCI LatAm 2226.26 -0.25
Brazil Bovespa 132639.41 -0.32
Mexico IPC 57059.07 -0.59
Chile IPSA 8174.35 -0.14
Argentina Merval 2277695.63 -1.803
Colombia COLCAP 1751.36 -1.21
Brazil real 5.5533 0.85
Mexico peso 18.9379 -0.36
Chile peso 968.78 0.32
Colombia peso 4126.43 1.22
Peru sol 3.5852 0.16
Argentina peso (interbank) 1362 0.87
Argentina peso (parallel) 1315 1.5