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Fed's Powell says 'time has come' to cut rates
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Argentina's Milei to veto pension reform
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Venezuela opposition leader to be called to testify
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Latam stocks up 1.9%, FX adds 1.4%
(Updated at 3:10 p.m. ET/ 1910 GMT)
By Shashwat Chauhan and Shubham Batra
Aug 23 (Reuters) - Most Latin American stocks and
currencies jumped on Friday, as investors favored risky assets
after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell offered an explicit
endorsement of interest rate cuts, with the Mexican peso and
Brazil's real outperforming.
Fed's Powell said "the time has come" for the U.S. central
bank to cut interest rates as rising risks to the job market
left no room for further weakness and inflation was in reach of
the Fed's 2% target.
"Powell's speech in Jackson Hole seems to be accretive for
gold, copper and risk assets generally," analysts at TD
Securities wrote in a note.
Traders expect a quarter-point rate cut in September, but
increased bets for a bigger cut after Powell's remarks. Fed
funds futures are now pricing in a 34.5% chance of a 50-bp cut
next month, up from about 25% late on Thursday.
"He has omitted references to a gradual approach, which
implies 50 bps cuts are a possibility."
Possibilities of incoming rate cuts pushed the dollar
to its lowest level so far this year.
The Mexican peso appreciated 2.4% against the dollar
after falling for the last four sessions, while Brazil's real
added 1.9% after declining for the last three.
The Mexican peso was also on track to record its best day
since June 2020.
Among other currencies, the Chilean peso and
Colombian peso rose over 1% each against the greenback,
while the Peruvian sol bucked the trend to fall 0.2% in
light trading.
Lower interest rates in the United States benefit
high-yielding Latin American currencies, as the wide rate
differential makes them attractive for currency "carry" trades.
Prices of commodities like copper and crude oil also perked
up post Powell's comments, a positive for the region as
commodities remain one of the top exports for countries such as
Chile and Colombia.
On the equities front, Argentina's Merval index led
the gains for regional bourses with an over 1% increase,
followed by Brazil's Bovespa, which rose 0.7%.
MSCI's gauge for Latin American equities
advanced 1.9% and the gauge for region's currencies
rose 1.4%. Both the indexes, however, were set
to clock weekly losses.
Argentine President Javier Milei will veto a pension reform
passed on Thursday by the Senate in a move that is likely to
widen an ongoing rift between the libertarian president and the
opposition-controlled Congress.
Emerging market equities received $4.7 billion in their 12th
straight week of inflows, the longest streak since February 2024
in the week to Wednesday, according to Bank of America said.
HIGHLIGHTS
**
Mexican president dismisses critique of judicial reform bill
as interventionist, disrespectful
** Mexico to wait on Venezuelan voting tallies before taking
stance on election, says president
** Brazil's Samarco expects to reach 60% of output capacity
by year-end
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1104.41 0.31
MSCI LatAm 2306.53 1.95
Brazil Bovespa 136098.06 0.68
Mexico IPC 53632.82 0.59
Chile IPSA 6478.51 0.03
Argentina Merval 1596908.5 1.235
1
Colombia COLCAP 1333.6 -0.1
Brazil real 5.4785 1.88
Mexico peso 19.0571 2.35
Chile peso 909.2 1.05
Colombia peso 4025.77 1.14
Peru sol 3.7365 -0.22
Argentina peso (interbank) 945.5 0
Argentina peso (parallel) 1330 1.5037593
98