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Peru interest rate decision on Wednesday
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JPMorgan downgrades Mexican stocks, upgrades Brazil
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Latam stocks down 2.8%, FX slips 1.2%
(Updates with mid-session trading)
By Shashwat Chauhan and Purvi Agarwal
March 10 (Reuters) - Latin American stocks tracked a
Wall Street selloff on Monday on growing concerns that a
tariff-induced global trade war could trigger a U.S. economic
slowdown, while currencies slipped against a gaining dollar.
U.S. President Donald Trump declined to predict over the
weekend whether the country could face a recession after he
slapped additional tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China.
"Uncertainty around U.S. policy trade and fiscal cuts has
translated to serious concern about the growth outlook, which
resulted in the worst weekly performance for the dollar in over
a year (last week)," said analysts at LMAX Group.
"The market is deeply distressed given all of the
unpredictability."
Trump's tariffs have stoked market volatility after the
president late last week suspended for a month the 25% tariffs
on Canadian and Mexican goods which had come into effect on
March 4.
Latam currencies weakened against the dollar, with the
Brazilian real down 1.1%.
Currencies in export-heavy Chile and Colombia
also dipped 1.5% and 1.1%, tracking heavy losses in
copper and oil.
MSCI's stocks gauge for Latin American currencies
fell 1.2%, on track for its worst day since
early December. The stocks gauge plunged 2.8%,
eyeing its worst day since June 2024, in line with a drop on
Wall Street.
All regional bourses were in the red, with Argentina's
Merval down 6.8% while Mexican stocks slipped
2.7%, both on track for its worst days since July 2024. Brazil's
Bovespa dipped 0.9%.
JPMorgan downgraded Mexican stocks due to slower economic
growth and U.S. tariffs, while taking a bullish stance on
Brazilian equities, citing the potential end of an interest rate
hiking cycle and a boost from China's stimulus measures.
U.S. inflation readings will be closely watched later this
week, as worries of an economic slowdown and Trump's tariffs
possibly stoking price pressures have led markets to reprice
expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, now betting
for three, up from two previously, as per LSEG data.
Disappointing data out of China also weighed. The country's
consumer price index fell at the sharpest pace in 13 months in
February, while producer price deflation persisted, potentially
impacting commodity prices.
Investors also awaited Argentina's fresh
loan deal
with the International Monetary Fund that could strengthen
its economic plan.
Data showed Colombia's
inflation
rose more than expected in February, likely keeping
policymakers inclined to hold interest rates steady at their
March meeting.
Peru's central bank is set to announce its latest monetary
policy decision on Wednesday, while this week also brings
inflation readings from Brazil.
Highlights:
**
Chile's Codelco copper output dips 4% in January
** Bank of Israel stays cautiously optimistic on inflation,
rates outlook
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1111.65 -1.5
MSCI LatAm 1977.04 -2.84
Brazil Bovespa 123917.48 -0.89
Mexico IPC 51399.52 -2.73
Chile IPSA 7369.67 -0.1
Argentina Merval 2107671.1 -6.84
6
Colombia COLCAP 1587.73 -1.41
Brazil real 5.853 -1.13
Mexico peso 20.3791 -0.71
Chile peso 943.4 -1.52
Colombia peso 4179.75 -1.05
Peru sol 3.669 -0.44
Argentina peso (interbank) 1065.25 0.02
Argentina peso (parallel) 1205 0.83