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Argentina rebounds after sharp sell-off
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Brazil equities record slim gains
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Fed rate cut hopes underpin sentiment
By Niket Nishant
Oct 15 (Reuters) - Latin American stocks and currencies
rebounded on Wednesday after dovish remarks from U.S. Federal
Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, while Argentine equities gained
ground following a turbulent Tuesday session.
With a 1.01% jump, Argentina's local stock index
emerged as one of the region's top gainers. Traders attributed
the rebound to portfolio buybacks following a sell-off sparked
by U.S. President Donald Trump linking Washington's financial
lifeline to President Javier Milei's midterm election prospects.
In a show of support last week, the U.S. Treasury finalized
a $20 billion currency swap framework with Argentina.
The Argentine wholesale peso fell 2.16% on
Wednesday.
"Any political setback would likely bring FX stress back,
hitting banks and consumer-focused sectors first," said Matthew
Tuttle, CEO of Tuttle Capital Management.
The Brazilian real slipped 0.7% against the dollar
while the Bovespa index added 0.65%, as investors eyed
planned discussions of fiscal measures.
The government will begin talks on new ways to offset
Congress' decision to shelve a tax overhaul that was crucial to
the target of eliminating the primary deficit this year.
Data released on Wednesday also showed that retail sales
volumes in Latin America's largest economy rose 0.2% in August
from a month ago, in line with analyst expectations.
FED CUES, STEADY GEOPOLITICS LIFT SENTIMENT
Dovish cues from the Fed generally pressure the U.S. dollar
, which was down on Wednesday, easing strain on emerging
market currencies and drawing investors toward riskier assets.
A softer dollar also cuts borrowing costs on dollar debt,
offering relief to indebted economies and firms. Latin American
economies are major commodity exporters and a weaker greenback
also underpinned prices of crude oil and copper.
MSCI's gauge for Latin American equities
rose 2%, while a parallel index tracking regional currencies
was up 1.6%.
Calmer geopolitics particularly in the Middle East further
buoyed risk appetite, with the shift visible across equities and
debt. Israel's and Egypt's bonds
maturing in 2050 gained.
Senegal's international notes also rallied sharply after IMF
chief Kristalina Georgieva pledged to step up talks on a new
Fund-supported program for the West African nation.
Mexican stocks rose 1.3%, while the peso rose
0.22%. Local investors focused on the first reports of
third-quarter corporate earnings season.
Shares of telecom giant América Móvil were among
the best performers, up 2.22% after it reported a more than
threefold increase in quarterly profit on Tuesday.
Peru's Lima Stock Exchange rose 1.3%. The
country is a major exporter of copper, which rose on Wednesday.
Some analysts said Latin American assets may continue to
perform strongly as carry trade opportunities widen, though
political risks and uneven fiscal outlooks could limit gains.
Carry trade involves investors borrowing cheaply in dollars
and chasing higher yields in emerging markets.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Equities
Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1365.47 1.98
MSCI LatAm 2468.38 1.56
Brazil Bovespa 142609.06 0.65
Mexico IPC 61668.60 1.29
Argentina Merval 1908370.46 1.013
Chile IPSA 9075.94 0.69
Colombia COLCAP 1890.57 -0.06
Currencies
Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.4446 0.68
Mexico peso 18.457 0.22
Chile peso 798.43 0.28
Colombia peso 3958.41 0.34
Peru sol 3.4124 0.34
Argentina peso (interbank) 1390 -2.16
Argentina peso (parallel) 1435 -1.05