* Latam assets rebound as US-Iran talks expected to
resume, easing oil concerns
* IMF lowers 2026 growth outlook for EM, warns of
recession risk if conflict escalates
* Brazil election poll shows Lula ahead; Peru runoff set
with Fujimori
* Colombia reverses plan for 100% tariffs on Ecuadorean
imports
(Updates with afternoon trading)
By Johann M Cherian and Twesha Dikshit
April 14 (Reuters) - Stocks and currencies across most
Latin American markets rose on Tuesday with investors optimistic
that the United States and Iran would continue negotiations to
end the conflict in the Middle East that has rattled global
markets.
MSCI's index tracking equities in the region
rose 0.8%, trading at multi-year highs. A corresponding index
tracking currencies added 0.6% as the safe-haven
dollar slipped.
Both indexes have recouped their losses since the start of
the conflict with Iran in late February, with the currencies
benchmark at a record high.
"The peak EM FX sell-off did not look particularly dramatic
compared to other sharp risk-off periods, while several
currencies are already trading at levels stronger versus the USD
than before the war started," JPMorgan analysts said in a note,
while stating a preference for Latam and EMEA EM FX.
Negotiating teams from Washington and Tehran could return to
Islamabad this week to resume talks to end the war, sources told
Reuters, after the collapse of weekend negotiations prompted
Washington to impose a blockade on Iranian ports.
Oil prices fell over 1% and slipped below $100 a
barrel.
Oil-deficient Chile's peso appreciated 0.8%, the most
among major economies in Latam, while Colombia's peso and
Mexico's peso firmed 0.2% each.
Energy companies' share prices fell, with Petrobras
down 4.2%, Ecopetrol down 4.4% and
Argentina's YPF down 2.2%, tracking weaker oil
prices.
GROWTH WORRIES LOOM
Despite optimism over the prospects for peace talks,
uncertainties remained regarding the economic repercussions of
the month-long conflict.
The International Monetary Fund lowered its outlook for
global growth and warned that the global economy would teeter on
the brink of recession if the conflict worsens and if oil stays
above $100 per barrel through 2027.
The fund lowered its 2026 growth forecast for emerging
market and developing economies to 3.9% from its view of 4.2% in
January, with commodity-importing countries expected to be hit
the hardest due to higher energy and food costs.
Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean, however, was
revised higher by 0.1 percentage point to 2.3% for 2026, helped
by exporters such as Brazil, where higher oil prices provide
some relief.
Elections will be a pivotal event for Brazil later this year
and a CNT/MDA poll showed that President Luiz Inacio Lula da
Silva was ahead of Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a potential
runoff in the October general election.
The local stock index edged up 0.4% and hit a record
high.
Meanwhile, Argentine bonds
were marginally higher after a media report that the country
will reach a staff-level agreement with the IMF on the second
review of its $20 billion program as early as this week.
Argentina's monthly inflation rate came in higher than
analyst expectations, as markets keep a close eye on the impact
of the Middle East conflict on the global economy. The benchmark
stock index dropped 1.2%, while the local peso
weakened 0.7%.
Peru's sol slipped 0.5%. Elections over the weekend
showed conservative candidate Keiko Fujimori will advance to a
presidential runoff after she received 16.9% of the votes, with
74% of votes counted.
Colombian President Gustavo Petro said his country would not
impose 100% tariffs on imports from Ecuador, reversing an
announcement made last week by the trade ministry. Local stocks
added 0.6%.
The U.S. issued a Venezuela-related general license that
allows financial transactions involving certain Venezuelan banks
and Venezuelan government individuals, according to documents
posted to the U.S. Treasury Department's website.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 19:51
GMT:
Stock indexes
Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging 1568.52 2.12
Markets
MSCI LatAm 3363.15 0.79
Brazil Bovespa 198838.5 0.42
7
Mexico IPC 68957.47 -0.92
Chile IPSA 11321.42 1.69
Argentina MerVal 2956127. -1.19
86
Colombia COLCAP 2360.28 0.55
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 4.9903 0.12
Mexico peso 17.2557 0.26
Chile peso 885.88 0.79
Colombia 3578.56 0.24
peso
Peru sol 3.3881 -0.54
Argentina 1,365.0 -0.74
peso
(interbank)
Argentina 1,390.0 0
peso
(parallel)