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U.S. jobs data suggests stable labor market
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Trump signs trade deal with Vietnam, markets hope for more
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Minutes show Chile's central bank considered a cut
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MSCI Latam FX up 0.5%, stocks gain 1.1%
(Updates with afternoon trading levels)
By Ragini Mathur and Purvi Agarwal
July 3 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies gained
on Thursday, as investors shifted to riskier assets following
stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data that underscored the
resilience of the labor market, while attention remained on
global trade deals involving the United States.
U.S. job growth was solid in June, and the unemployment rate
unexpectedly fell, suggesting the labor market remained stable
and potentially enabling the Federal Reserve to delay resuming
its rate-cutting cycle until September.
"I don't think that the market could take away something
too hawkish from this but also it's difficult to price
substantially more cuts that are enough to drive more dollar
weakness on monetary policy expectations," said Gilberto
Hernandez-Gomez, LatAm local market strategist and vice
president at BBVA.
Investors were also relieved by some progress on the trade
front, as U.S. President Donald Trump finalized a deal with
Vietnam on Wednesday, imposing a 20% tariff on exports to the
United States, lower than the previously threatened 46%.
The dollar index traded higher on the day as
investors priced in fewer Fed rate cuts. MSCI's index for Latin
American currencies, meanwhile, rose 0.5% to its
highest since 2009.
Mexico's peso outpaced regional peers with a 0.7%
rise against the dollar, touching its highest since August 2024.
The Brazilian real also climbed 0.2%, hitting its
highest since October.
Minutes of the last meeting of Chile's central bank revealed
that it had considered a 25-basis-point cut, despite an
unchanged macroeconomic scenario. It ultimately held rates in
June. Chile's peso was last down 0.3%.
Meanwhile, the MSCI stocks gauge jumped
1.1%, trading around levels last seen in May 2024.
Heavyweight Brazilian shares gained 1.5%, boosted by
gains in financials and utilities.
Trump's tax-cut package cleared its
final hurdle
in U.S. Congress, as the Republican-controlled House of
Representatives narrowly approved the massive bill and sent it
to him for signing into law.
Earlier in the day, the United States lifted restrictions on
exports to China for chip design software developers and ethane
producers, further easing tensions between the two largest
economies.
Elsewhere in emerging markets, the International Monetary
Fund said it would combine the fifth and sixth reviews of
Egypt's $8 billion support program this fall. It also urged
Ukraine to adhere to its economic reforms and national revenue
strategy as its continues to combat Russia's invasion.
Highlights:
** Poland's July rate cut not the start of a cycle, central
bank chief says
** Sri Lanka's economic outlook positive but global trade
concerns pose risks, IMF says
** Colombia president recalls ambassador to US
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1235.23 0.41
MSCI LatAm 2387.62 1.06
Brazil Bovespa 141180.61 1.53
Mexico IPC 57967.78 -0.65
Argentina Merval 2073952.9 0.53
2
Chile IPSA 8270.43 0.02
Colombia COLCAP 1683.96 -0.59
Brazil real 5.4119 0.21
Mexico peso 18.6673 0.69
Chile peso 929.24 -0.31
Colombia peso 3987.5 -0.03
Peru sol 3.544 0.1
Argentina peso 1229.5 0.04
(interbank)
Argentina peso (parallel) 1215 2.06