*
Mexico inflation slows in first half of December
*
Brazil posts $3.1 billion current account deficit in
November
*
Latam stocks index down 1.7%, FX down 1.2%
(Updates with afternoon trading levels)
By Lisa Pauline Mattackal
Dec 23 (Reuters) - Most Latin American stock indexes and
currencies slipped on Monday, giving back gains from the
previous session as investors questioned the likely path of U.S.
interest rates and the impact on emerging markets next year.
MSCI's index of Latin American currencies
was down 1.2%, and a gauge of regional stocks
lost 1.7% at the start of a holiday-shortened week.
Both indexes had gained over 1% on Friday after moderate
U.S. inflation data helped relieve some concerns over higher-for
-longer rates in the world's largest economy.
However, Monday saw the dollar and U.S. Treasury
yields tick higher, with lower oil prices adding to pressure on
Latin American assets.
The real fell 1.7% against the dollar, giving up
gains from Friday when central bank intervention helped the
currency pick up off record lows. Brazil posted a $3.1 billion
current account deficit in November, narrower than forecast.
Mexico's peso dipped 0.8%. Data showed annual
inflation slowed to 4.44% in the first half of December,
boosting bets the Bank of Mexico will continue cutting rates in
2025.
With little major data expected and trading light ahead of
the Christmas holiday, most attention was on the outlook for
next year.
Investors were rattled last week by the U.S. Federal
Reserve's projection of a more measured pace of rate cuts next
year than previously expected. That sparked a selloff in risk
assets.
"Going forward, the Fed is likely to slow-walk further rate
cuts as it feels its way toward a neutral setting, though it's
likely to err on the tighter side of neutral given the ongoing
risk of inflation reacceleration," said Jason Pride, chief of
investment strategy and research at Glenmede.
After a volatile 2024, a slower pace of U.S. rate cuts will
likely be a headwind for emerging markets in 2025, with a
stronger dollar and higher than originally forecast rates likely
to weigh on currencies and add to inflationary pressures.
The Latin American stocks index has lost nearly 30% this
year, on track for its worst year since 2015.
The currency index has lost close to 10% year-to-date, set for
its worst year since 2020.
The potential for international tariffs planned by
President-elect Donald Trump's incoming administration, and
continued uncertainties about top-consumer China's economy, are
also hurdles for Latin America's resource-rich economies.
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum expressed support for
Panama's government after Trump threatened to reassert U.S.
control over the Panama Canal on Sunday.
The International Monetary Fund said it had completed two
reviews for Paraguay that will allow for the immediate
disbursement of around $245 million under the Resilience and
Sustainability Facility arrangement.
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approval
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1081.8 0.89
MSCI LatAm 1876.79 -1.73
Brazil Bovespa 121232.15 -0.71
Mexico IPC 49242.29 -0.69
Chile IPSA 6665.3 -0.53
Argentina Merval 2484391.6 0.682
1
Colombia COLCAP 1374.99 0.5
Brazil real 6.1904 -1.73
Mexico peso 20.213 -0.81
Chile peso 990.9 -0.24
Colombia peso 4407.5 -0.46
Peru sol 3.723 0.16
Argentina peso 1025.5 -0.292540224
(interbank)
Argentina peso (parallel) 1180 -1.694915254