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PCE data due at 1230 GMT
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Chinese yuan, South African rand at over one-year highs
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EM stocks up 0.5%, FX adds 0.1%
By Shashwat Chauhan
Aug 30 (Reuters) - Most emerging market currencies were
higher on Friday as the dollar weakened ahead of crucial U.S.
inflation data that could offer clues on the size of possible
interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve next month.
The Fed's preferred inflation measure - the personal
consumption expenditures (PCE) index - is due at 1230 GMT and
could offer hints on the size of potential rate cuts.
Analysts anticipate headline inflation to rise 0.2% in the
month of July, while 'core' inflation, which excludes volatile
components like food and energy, is also expected to rise by the
same level.
"We are aligned with the consensus for a 0.2% MoM call,
which should keep markets attached to their call for 100 bps of
easing by year-end," said Francesco Pesole, FX strategist at
ING.
China's yuan appreciated 0.3% in offshore trading,
reaching its highest level in over a year, while stocks
closed higher.
In Central Eastern Europe, Poland's zloty gained
0.1% against the euro after preliminary data showed inflation
stood at 4.3% on a year-on-year basis in August, compared to
analysts' expectations of a 4.2% reading.
Separately, updated statistics office data showed domestic
demand fuelled by brisker government expenditure drove the Czech
economy's slow recovery in the second quarter.
South Africa's rand was up 0.8% against the dollar,
hitting its highest level since July 2023, while stocks
were muted.
MSCI's index for emerging market stocks added 0.5%
by 0830 GMT, while a gauge for currencies edged
up 0.1%. Both are headed for monthly gains.
Global equities saw sharp declines earlier this month as
investors dumped risk assets after a hot July jobs report in the
United States fanned worries of a recession in the world's
biggest economy.
Those worries have since faded as data throughout the month
showed a resilient U.S. consumer, with stocks back above levels
seen before the selloff.
Also adding to the volatility was a surprise rate-hike by
the Bank of Japan earlier this month, which saw the yen
rise and sharp unwinding of currency "carry" trades, where
investors borrow in low-yielding currencies such as the yen to
invest in high yielding assets like stocks.
High-yielding EM currencies saw sharp declines, but have now
recovered as markets gear up for an interest rate cut by the Fed
next month, following Chair Jerome Powell's dovish tilt last
week.
Markets in Turkey were shut for a public holiday.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Russia payment hurdles with China partners intensified in
August, sources say
** China's interest rate reform will be 'arduous, long'
process
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