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Turkey inflation slows to 52%
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U.S. payrolls data due on Friday
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EM stocks down 0.3%, FX off 0.1%
By Shashwat Chauhan
Sept 3 (Reuters) - Most emerging market currencies were
range-bound on Tuesday, as investors waited to see the dollar's
moves during a week packed with global economic data, including
a crucial U.S. jobs report.
Investors were focused on a U.S. ISM manufacturing survey
due later in the day, while Friday's all-important August
nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report could offer clues on the magnitude
of an expected rate cut by the Federal Reserve later this month.
"We think the (ISM) reading should revert higher, further
allaying fears over the state of the labour market, an outcome
that should see the greenback extend gains heading towards
Friday," analysts at Monex Europe wrote in a note.
Any clues on the state of the U.S. labour market will be
carefully scrutinised, given Federal Reserve Chair Jerome
Powell's dovish tilt last month, and his emphasis on the jobs
markets.
Currencies in Central Eastern Europe (CEE) were largely
muted, with Hungary's forint, Poland's zloty
and the Czech crown all trading more or less flat
against the euro.
Data showed Czech real wages increased for a second straight
quarter in the April-June period, while Hungary's economy
expanded 1.5% in the second quarter year-on-year.
Most currencies in Asia were lower, with Philippine's peso
lagging with a 0.2% fall.
Turkey's lira slipped 0.3% against the dollar
after official data showed Turkish inflation eased to 51.97% in
August, just below expectations.
Nicholas Farr, emerging Europe economist at Capital
Economics, said that while he sees continued disinflation in
Turkey over the coming months, "there are signs in the breakdown
that underlying inflation pressures remain strong and we still
think that the central bank won't feel ready to cut interest
rates this year."
South Africa's rand slipped 0.3% ahead of the
release of second quarter GDP figures, while the local stocks
benchmark edged 0.1% higher.
As of 0825 GMT, MSCI's index for emerging market stocks
dipped 0.3%, while a gauge for currencies
slipped 0.1%.
Later this week, interest rate decisions in Argentina,
Chile, Poland, Malaysia and Egypt are likely to be on investors'
radar.
Investors would also look out for comments from African
leaders in China ahead of the ninth Forum on China-Africa
Cooperation (FOCAC) Summit later this week.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** World Bank raises India growth forecast to 7% for current
fiscal year from 6.6%
** Conflict, creditors and a car crash: How Ukraine clinched
a wartime debt restructuring
** Pakistan PM says government working on IMF conditions for
loan programme