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Trump says US would help with Ukraine's security in peace
deal
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Bolivia's dollar bond hits record high after election
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Chile's economy expands in Q2, stocks at record high
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MSCI Latam FX down 0.5%, stocks flat
(Updates with afternoon trading levels)
By Pranav Kashyap and Purvi Agarwal
Aug 18 (Reuters) - Most emerging market assets were
subdued on Monday as investors digested the outcome of a key
meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump, Ukrainian and
European leaders, while currencies in Latin America faced
pressure from a stronger dollar.
Trump said that a peace agreement for the war in Ukraine is
attainable and that the U.S. would help Europe in providing
security for Ukraine as part of any deal.
Ukraine's dollar bonds reversed course to gain on the day,
with the one maturing in 2034 rising 1.3 cents
on the dollar. Russia's rouble edged up 0.1% against the
dollar, according to over-the-counter market data.
"It will certainly feed into risk-on appetite, so that is
good for emerging markets ... we could see declines in oil, that
means lower inflation expectations, which in turn mean lower Fed
rates," said Felipe Barragan, research strategist at
Pepperstone.
In South America, Bolivia's international dollar bond
maturing in 2030 surged to a record high, rising three cents to
79.79, Tradeweb data showed, as early official results pointed
to the ruling Movement for Socialism party's worst election
defeat in a generation.
"For the markets, it must be a relief to see the leftist or
radical leftist candidates not really getting a lot of traction.
So overall a positive, but not the final nail in the coffin,"
said Eduardo Ordonez Bueso, emerging markets debt portfolio
manager at Bankinvest.
Meanwhile, data showed Brazil's economic activity contracted
in June, reinforcing signs of a slowdown under high borrowing
costs, which have been held near a 20-year high of 15%.
Brazil's real slipped 0.6%.
Trump's tariffs complicate the central bank's balancing act
as it continues to assess whether the 15% rate is adequate to
curb inflation.
"Historically, Brazilian equities have risen at a time of
easing and it certainly is not being priced fully into Brazilian
equities so far," Barragan added.
On the day, the dollar index rose 0.3% as
expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts eased following recent
economic data, though a September rate reduction remained priced
in.
MSCI's gauge of regional currencies fell
0.5%, with Mexico's peso slipping 0.2%.
In contrast, Peru's sol gained 0.5% in light trading
volumes.
Regional stock indexes, however, showed mixed performance,
with Brazil's benchmark rising 0.8%, while Mexico's
and Argentina's declined. Colombia's stock market
was closed for a public holiday.
Chilean stocks climbed 1% to a record high after
data showed the economy grew 0.4% in the second quarter, marking
the fourth straight quarter of sequential growth but indicating
a slowdown.
However, a broader gauge of regional equities
remained flat.
Latin American currencies have largely traded in ranges amid
mixed U.S. economic data, as markets assess the interest rate
outlook. Attention now turns to the Kansas City Fed's Jackson
Hole symposium, set for August 21-23, where Fed Chair Jerome
Powell is expected to outline the policy framework and economic
outlook.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latin American market
prices from Reuters
MSCI Emerging Markets 1273.04 0.05
MSCI LatAm 2342.59 0.00
Brazil Bovespa 137383.82 0.77
Mexico IPC 58217.07 -0.18
Chile IPSA 8834.64 1.09
Argentina Merval 2185564.2 -0.14
3
Colombia COLCAP
- -
Brazil real 5.4333 -0.61
Mexico peso 18.759 -0.19
Chile peso 963.9 -0.19
Colombia peso 4029.69 -0.35
Peru sol 3.541 0.46
Argentina peso (interbank) 1292.5 -1.35
Argentina peso (parallel) 1320 -1.89