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EM stocks see surge in 'buy the election' flows- BofA
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India's c.bank holds rates, raises growth outlook
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Russia policy decision due at 1030 GMT
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Pakistan to postpones its annual budget on June 12
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Stocks, FX eye first weekly gain in three
By Ankika Biswas
June 7 (Reuters) - Emerging market stocks rose on
Friday, eyeing gains in a week marked by local elections and
central bank rate cuts, while focus lies on a U.S. jobs report
for the Federal Reserve's policy easing cues and a press
conference by South Africa's ANC.
The MSCI index for EM stocks rose 0.2% to an over
one-week high, while the currencies gauge edged
0.1% higher, both looking at their first weekly gain in three.
This week saw the Bank of Canada emerge as the first G7
country to trim its policy rate, followed by the European
Central Bank's first rate cut in five years. Other central banks
like Sweden's Riksbank and the Swiss National Bank also eased
their policies earlier this year.
All eyes are on when the world's most influential central
bank, the U.S. Fed, will start cutting rates, with traders
betting on a 25-basis-point cut in September ahead of the
much-anticipated U.S. non-farms payrolls data during the day.
The other highlight of the day is an anticipated press
conference by South Africa's African National Congress (ANC)
after Thursday's announcement that it would seek to form a
government of national unity after failing to win a majority in
elections. That sent the rand 0.6% higher against the
dollar.
"In South Africa, risks are more symmetrically priced and
recommend taking profits on our long USDZAR trade. We now
recommend buying a 2-week USDZAR digital, as markets are
underestimating ZAR appreciation in the case of an ANC-DA
coalition," Barclays analysts said.
Also rocking the EM space was a Sunday landslide election
victory for the ruling MORENA party and its coalition in Mexico,
raising concerns around any passing of constitutional reforms
unopposed and keeping the peso under pressure.
Meanwhile, a three-day winning streak by Indian stocks
helped recoup the steep losses registered on
Tuesday after Prime Minister Narendra Modi's alliance won an
election by a surprisingly narrow majority.
Global investors poured money into all the major asset
classes in the week to Wednesday, with Indian and Mexican assets
seeing large inflows after election results, Bank of America
said in a report, citing EPFR data.
Further, the Reserve Bank of India kept its interest rate
unchanged in an expected move.
Pakistani stocks fell 1%, dragged by concerns of tax
hikes after the government announced a date for the annual
budget- June 12.
The Russian rouble traded steady against the
dollar ahead of the central bank's policy meeting and before
President Vladimir Putin speaks at Russia's premier investment
forum in St Petersburg.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Mexico's president-elect says no decision yet on
constitutional reforms
** IMF sees Sri Lanka debt deal with external commercial
creditors soon
** Saudi Arabia set to raise $11.2 bln in Aramco share offer
priced at lower end of range
** No chance of rate cut in 2024- Polish c.bank governor