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EM stocks down 0.8%, FX down 0.06%
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Israel's 2026 budget may hold key to government's survival
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China bans foreign AI chips from state-funded data centres
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Czech inflation picks up in October
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Polish central bank decision due later in the day
By Pranav Kashyap
Nov 5 (Reuters) - An emerging market stocks index
stumbled to a two-week low and currencies lost ground on
Wednesday, as jittery investors pulled back from risk amid
mounting valuation concerns, while Poland prepared for an
expected rate cut.
The Polish zloty was set to snap a six-day losing
streak - its longest in over one year, while Warsaw's benchmark
index rose 0.3%, as investors geared up for a widely
expected 25-basis-point rate cut by the National Bank of Poland.
The move would lower borrowing costs to 4.25%, marking
another step in the central bank's easing cycle.
Poland's inflation came in softer than forecast at 2.8%
year-on-year in October, preliminary data had showed. That's the
fourth straight month within the central bank's target range of
2.5% ±1 percentage point - reinforcing bets on further monetary
loosening.
"We will watch the statement to see if anything changes to
the 'rate adjustment' wording and what the new inflation
forecast will show given the lower numbers in recent months and
the government's freeze on energy prices for the coming months,"
said Chris Turner, global head of markets and regional head of
research, UK and CEE at ING.
Thursday's press conference by Governor Adam Glapinski will
be key, he added.
Consumer prices in the Czech Republic rose 0.5%
month-on-month in October, lifting annual inflation to 2.5%,
according to preliminary data - a reading that strengthens the
case for the central bank to keep interest rates unchanged at
its Thursday meeting. Economists polled by Reuters widely expect
the benchmark rate to hold steady at 3.5%.
The Czech koruna edged higher, while Prague stocks
rose 0.4%.
Meanwhile, South Africa's rand was just off an
over-one-month low, while stocks hovered at over-one
month lows. Fresh PMI figures showed private sector activity
contracted for the first time in seven months in October.
VALUATION FEARS TRIGGER RISK-OFF MOOD
A broad gauge of emerging market stocks extended
its slide for a second straight day, shedding nearly 1% to hit
its lowest level since October 20. Meanwhile, a similar index
tracking EM currencies fell for the fifth
consecutive session, at its lowest point in over three weeks.
Overnight, Wall Street's top banks sounded the alarm on a
potential equity market correction, citing stretched valuations.
The CEOs of Morgan Stanley ( MS ) and Goldman Sachs ( GS )
stoked fears of a looming bubble, fuelling a risk-off sentiment.
Asian markets bore the brunt, with South Korean and
Taiwanese equities leading the declines. Seoul's benchmark
tumbled nearly 3%, its sharpest daily drop in over three
months, while Taipei stocks notched their biggest loss
in more than a month.
China's equity markets bucked the global downtrend, with the
CSI 300 rising 0.5% and the Shanghai Composite
edging up 0.2%. The gains came after the State Council's tariff
commission announced a one-year suspension of its 24% additional
levy on U.S. goods - though a 10% tariff remains in place -
following last week's meeting between Presidents Xi Jinping and
Donald Trump.
In a setback for U.S. chipmakers, Reuters reported that
Beijing has issued guidance requiring new state-funded data
centers to use only domestically-produced AI chips, signalling a
push to reduce reliance on American technology.
Israel's shekel slipped to an over one-week low,
while Tel Aviv stocks fell 0.5%. Finance Minister
Bezalel Smotrich said late Tuesday that the cabinet is expected
to vote on the long-delayed 2026 state budget next month.
However, the proposal faces stiff political resistance, raising
the spectre of fresh elections.
Elsewhere, The Republic of Congo is set to tap global debt
markets with a $670 million Eurobond - its first in nearly two
decades - according to a statement released Monday. Meanwhile,
Nigeria is eyeing a $2.25 billion Eurobond issuance, bookrunner
Chapel Hill Denham said.