May 20 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields rose
on Tuesday, tracking moves in U.S. Treasuries, as investors
worried about the U.S. debt load and remained on the lookout for
further trade deals from the world's biggest economy.
Germany's 10-year yield, the euro zone
benchmark, climbed 3 basis points to 2.61%.
Longer-dated Treasury yields rose on concerns that a U.S.
tax bill will increase the debt load, with the yield on
benchmark U.S. 10-year notes up 2 bps at 4.489%.
U.S. President Donald Trump will join the congressional
debate over his tax bill later on Tuesday, as Republicans who
control the House of Representatives struggle to keep their
fragile majority together for a crucial vote later this week.
"To me it's a long-term story, not a one-day story; we need
to price in higher-term premia into the U.S. curve," said Mohit
Kumar, chief European economist at Jefferies.
Term premium refers to the extra yield investors require for
owning longer-dated rather than shorter-dated bonds.
As a result, Kumar said he was recommending investors be
underweight on longer-dated U.S. Treasuries relative to
shorter-dated European government bonds.
However, markets were also selling short-dated German bonds
on Tuesday, with German two-year yields - more
sensitive to changes in expectations for European Central Bank
rates - up 2 bps at 1.85%.
Bond yields move inversely with prices.
In the euro zone, consumer confidence rose in May, while
German April producer prices recorded a 0.9% decline on the
year.
The ECB is on track to get inflation back to its 2% target,
but new challenges including around a global trade war may push
up prices further out, so the bank should stop easing policy,
ECB board member Isabel Schnabel said on Tuesday.
Money markets are pricing in an ECB deposit rate of 1.74% by
the end of 2025, with the next cut expected
to come in June.
Italy's 10-year yield was up 3 bps to 3.63%,
leaving the spread between Italian and German yields - a market
gauge of the risk premium investors demand to hold Italian debt
- at 99 bps.
European markets overlooked yields on long-dated Japanese
government bonds soaring to a record high on Tuesday, after a
poor auction result added to concerns about demand for the debt.