(Updates at 1600 GMT)
By Harry Robertson and Stefano Rebaudo
March 8 (Reuters) - Shorter-dated euro zone bond yields
fell on Friday after mixed signals from U.S. jobs data, with
payrolls rising but a slowdown in wage growth and a rise in
unemployment suggesting the Federal Reserve is dealing with a
cooling labour market.
The closely watched jobs numbers showed the U.S. added
275,000 jobs in February, compared with 229,000 in January, a
figure that was revised considerably lower.
Average earnings grew just 0.1% month-on-month, less than
expected, while the unemployment rate rose to 3.9% from 3.7% in
January.
Germany's 2-year bond yield, which is sensitive
to rate expectations, was last down 7 basis points (bps) at
2.735%, from 2.76% before the data. Yields move inversely to
prices.
The German 10-year yield, the benchmark for the
euro zone, initially fell but was last 3 bps lower at 2.263% on
Friday, roughly where it stood before the jobs figures.
"The big concern was that we were seeing a reacceleration in
both the economy and inflation in January, that was somewhat
kicked off by the NFP (non-farm payroll) numbers in January,"
said Jamie Niven, senior portfolio manager at Candriam.
"So to see that being, let's be honest, revised quite
substantially downwards is probably a relief for the market...
hence why we're seeing particularly the front-end rallying."
Shorter-dated U.S. Treasury yields also fell,
down around 5 bps on the 2-year note at 4.463%.
Bond markets have become highly correlated in recent months,
with investors expecting the world's biggest central banks to
cut interest rates at around the same time.
The U.S. data came a day after the European Central Bank
kept borrowing costs at record highs at its policy meeting while
cautiously laying the ground to lower them later this year,
saying it had made good progress in bringing down inflation.
Analysts said the ECB was growing in confidence that it
could cut and send a strong signal for June, while the new
inflation projections were on track to reach 2%.
Italy's 10-year government bond yield was 3 bps
lower at 3.571%.
The spread over Germany's 10-year yield - a
gauge of the risk premium investors ask to hold bonds of the
euro area's most indebted countries - stood at 129 bps. It hit
128.8 bps the day before, its lowest level since January 2022.
French central bank chief Francois Villeroy de Galhau,
considered a centrist on the ECB's rate-setting Governing
Council, said on Friday that interest rates would be lowered
this spring, adding that "spring is from April until June 21".
The bank's next two monetary policy meetings are on April 11
and June 6.
ECB euro short-term rate (ESTR) forwards last fully priced
in a first rate cut by June, having seen a 98% chance of before
the U.S. data and after the ECB.
They currently price around 102 bps of rate cuts in 2024.
;))