(Adds quote, refreshes Iran, Fed context, updates pricing after
European morning)
* Oil slips about 2.2% to $86.38 a barrel after Monday's
near-9% drop
* Money markets pricing in a roughly 68% chance of September
ECB rate hike
* Germany's two-year bond yield down 1.8 basis points to
2.7635%
By Sophie Kiderlin
LONDON, July 28 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields retreated
for a third straight session on Tuesday, as optimism about a
diplomatic resolution to the Iran war and easing oil prices
soothed short-term inflation worries.
Germany's 10-year government bond yield, the
benchmark for the euro zone, was down by less than one basis
point at 3.1192%. Last week, it hit 3.2118%, its highest level
since 2011.
A lull in hostilities between the U.S. and Iran continued after
Washington's abrupt suspension of air strikes on Saturday.
President Donald Trump said on Monday the United States was
having "good talks" with Iran, and there was a chance of a deal,
but threatened to restart strikes unless negotiations deliver.
Iran denies seeking to resume talks with the United States.
Brent crude futures were around 2.2% lower on Tuesday at
$86.38 a barrel after tumbling close to 9% on Monday.
Still, ING commodities strategists said "we have been in this
position multiple times before, and so the market may be getting
a bit ahead of itself".
"At the end of the day, there has been no improvement in tanker
flows through the Strait of Hormuz ... Furthermore, even in the
event of a deal, one would expect that the market will need to
continue to price in a large risk premium, given that recent
events have demonstrated how quickly a deal can unravel," they
said in a note.
Higher energy costs have been a key driver of inflation
concerns across the euro zone, especially given the European
economy's vulnerability to imported energy.
Later this week, a reading of second-quarter gross domestic
product and a flash estimate of July inflation for the euro zone
could shed further light on the impact of the war on the bloc's
economy.
ECB RATE HIKE EXPECTATIONS
In June, the European Central Bank raised interest rates by 25
basis points to tame inflationary pressures. Policymakers kept
rates steady at their July meeting last week, but left the door
open for a potential increase in September.
Money markets have slightly scaled back expectations for further
tightening from the ECB in recent days. However, they were last
still pricing in a roughly 68% probability of a September rate
hike, with the possibility of another increase later in the
year.
Germany's two-year government bond yield, which is more
sensitive to rate expectations, was down 1.8 basis points on the
day at 2.7635%. It reached a two-year high of 2.8938% last week.
Markets are also focused on central bank action elsewhere
this week, with the Bank of England, Bank of Japan and Federal
Reserve all due to make their latest interest rate decisions.
Wednesday's Fed decision will be watched especially closely.
While expectations are still tilted towards rates staying
steady, market pricing for a policy increase has picked up in
recent days and a growing number of major brokerages are warning
that policymakers could raise rates.