July 27 (Reuters) - Government bond yields across the euro
zone fell on Monday as easing oil prices helped to calm
short-term inflation fears after U.S. President Donald Trump's
decision to suspend attacks on Iran and leave room for
diplomacy.
Oil prices tumbled more than 5% after the U.S. and Iran halted
strikes, raising hopes of a diplomatic solution that would allow
shipping to resume in the Strait of Hormuz.
Germany's 2-year yields, more sensitive to
expectations for policy rates, fell 2.5 basis points (bps) to
2.79%, having reached 2.8938% last week for the highest level
since July 2024.
Money markets slightly scaled back bets on the European
Central Bank deposit rate to 2.67% for December
and 2.72% for February 2027, up from the
current 2.25%. They fully priced a depo rate at 2.75% last week.
The ECB still considers the current inflation shock to be
medium-sized, which requires some policy action but not
aggressive moves. It expects price growth to return to 2% in the
next year or so, ECB chief economist Philip Lane said.
The central bank kept interest rates unchanged as expected on
Thursday but held the door open for another increase in
September.
Germany's 10-year government bond yield, the euro
area's benchmark, was down 3 bps at 3.14%. It reached 3.2118%
last week for its highest since May 2011.
Italy's 10-year government bond yields fell 5 bps to
3.95%.
The spread between Italian government bonds and Bunds
was at 79 bps. It was at 63 bps in February before
the attack on Iran and hit 103.62 in late March, the highest
since June 2025.