July 29 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields
edged higher on Tuesday as investors turned their focus to
upcoming policy meetings by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of
Japan, alongside a slate of key economic data from both the U.S.
and the euro area.
Data from Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)
will be released later in the session.
Euro area borrowing costs fell on Monday as markets pushed
back bets on a 25-basis-point rate cut to March 2026, with
economists warning that investors may be overstating the
European Central Bank's hawkish message at last week's meeting.
Sovereign bond markets showed quite a muted reaction to the
trade deal between the U.S. and the European Union.
Markets are pricing a 68% chance of an ECB rate cut
by December - with a depo rate seen at
1.83% from the current 2% - and a 90% probability of the same
move in March 2026.
They had priced a deposit rate at 1.73% in December early
last week, before the ECB meeting and before a U.S.-Japan trade
deal helped ease recession fears tied to a possible trade war.
Germany's 10-year government bond yield, the
euro area's benchmark, was up 0.5 bps at 2.69%.
German 2-year government bond yields - more
sensitive to expectations for European Central Bank policy rates
- were unchanged at 1.90%.
Italy's 10-year government bond yields were up
0.5 bps at 3.54%, with the spread between BTP and Bund yields -
a market gauge of the risk premium investors demand to hold
Italian debt - at 84 bps. It hit 82.30 bps last week, its lowest
level since April 2010.