*
German 10-year Bund yields track biggest daily fall since
June,
after rising for 10 days
*
Cooler U.S. core inflation brings back bets on two Fed
cuts in
2025
*
Italy's 10-year yields track biggest daily drop since May
(Updates to European afternoon trading)
By Greta Rosen Fondahn
Jan 15 (Reuters) - Euro area benchmark Bund yields fell
on Wednesday, breaking a 10-day rising streak, as core U.S.
consumer price inflation came in below expectations in December,
bringing back bets on two Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in
2025.
While U.S. consumer prices rose 2.9% in the 12 months
through December as expected, core inflation, which excludes
food and energy prices, was 3.2%, below the 3.3% consensus
forecast.
Germany's 10-year yield had dipped earlier in
the day, and extended the fall after the data. If sustained, it
would be its biggest daily fall since mid-June.
It was last down 9 basis points at 2.53%, around its lowest
since Jan. 9, after hitting a fresh seven-month high at 2.63%
earlier on Wednesday.
Strong economic data and fears that U.S. President-elect
Donald Trump's policies could boost inflation have driven yields
up on both sides of the Atlantic since early December.
But traders of interest-rate futures on Wednesday were
pricing close to even odds the Fed will cut rates twice by the
end of this year.
Before the report, interest-rate futures reflected bets on
only a single reduction this year.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was down 12 bps
at 4.6694% after hitting 4.8090% on Tuesday, the highest level
since Nov. 1, 2023.
Pepperstone strategist Michael Brown said the core consumer
price index data pointed to "some degree of underlying price
pressures beginning to fade" but argued the Fed still remained
on course to hold rates steady at the January meeting.
"Taking a step back, the CPI figures don't add particularly
much to the broader discourse, instead, serving to reaffirm that
underlying price pressures remain relatively stubborn."
In Europe, money markets slightly added to their bets on
European Central Bank rate cuts this year by around 5 bps after
the U.S. data.
Markets still expect the ECB to cut rates by around 95
basis points in 2025.
Germany's 2-year bond yield, more sensitive
to ECB rate expectations, fell 7 bps to 2.249% after hitting a
fresh 2-1/2-month high at 2.323%.
Euro zone industrial production rose as expected in November
but the latest data was unlikely to signal any major turnaround
for a sector in its second year of recession.
Italy's 10-year government bond yield was down
15 bps at 3.681%, on track for its biggest daily fall since
mid-May, while the gap between Italian and German yields
narrowed to 115 bps.