LONDON, April 15 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields
retreated for the second day in a row on Wednesday as hopes grew
that U.S.-Iran peace talks would resume and the Middle East
conflict would be resolved.
U.S. President Donald Trump said negotiations between U.S.
and Iranian officials could resume in Pakistan in the next two
days and Vice President JD Vance, who led weekend talks that
ended without a breakthrough, said he felt positive about where
things stood.
However, more vessels were being turned back under the U.S.
blockade of Iran's ports.
Germany's 10-year government bond yield, the
benchmark for the euro zone, was recently 2 basis points lower
at 3.0097%, extending its decline from the previous session. In
late March it hit 3.13%, its highest level since 2011.
Bonds have been under pressure throughout much of the
conflict that sent energy prices higher, sparking inflation
concerns and prompting markets to sharply adjust their central
bank interest rate expectations.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde on Tuesday
said the central bank was not yet in a position to determine if
the current oil-price-driven inflation shock is transitory or if
it requires the bank to raise interest rates.
Separately, she said the euro zone economy was somewhere
between the "baseline" and "adverse" scenarios the central bank
laid out last month. The adverse scenario envisages inflation
rising to 3.5% in 2026.
Euro zone inflation jumped to 2.5% in March from 1.9% a
month earlier as higher oil and gas costs drove up prices,
according to flash data.
Money markets were last pricing in at least two interest
rate hikes from the ECB in 2026, with a small chance of a third.
Chances of a rate hike at the central bank's next meeting in
April have meanwhile eased and were last at around 20%, down
from 50% on Monday.
The yield on the German 2-year government bond,
which is more sensitive to policy rate expectations, was last
down 2.3 bps to 2.523%. It fell more than 9 bps in the previous
session.
(Reportin by Sophie Kiderlin; Editing by Thomas Derpinghaus)