* Markets lower chances of Fed September rate hike
* Brent crude falls about 2%
* Markets, economists still expect ECB to hike in September
(Updates for late European morning trading)
By Samuel Indyk
LONDON, Aug 13 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields were
marginally lower on Thursday as oil prices retreated and U.S.
inflation data cooled expectations for a rate hike from the
Federal Reserve next month.
Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the
euro zone, was down just under 1 basis point at 3.151%, but
within its recent range.
"Oil prices are of course a factor in bond prices because it
affects monetary policy to some degree," said René Albrecht,
analyst at DZ Bank.
"But we have seen declines in oil prices which didn't really
impact yields because since (Kevin) Warsh became Fed chair
you've had increase in Fed hiking probabilities."
Investors had been closely watching Wednesday's U.S.
consumer price inflation data, which showed benign underlying
price pressures, prompting markets to reduce the chances of an
interest rate hike from the Fed next month.
Financial markets were pricing in a roughly 35% chance of a
rate increase at the Fed's September 15 to 16 policy meeting,
down from about 50% on Tuesday.
The data was important for global markets given the size of
the U.S. economy and the influence of the Fed on other central
banks.
"The U.S. CPI figures released yesterday came in largely in
line with expectations, providing a bit of relief for fixed
income markets," said Jens Nærvig Pedersen, director, FX and
rates strategy at Danske Bank.
U.S. producer prices data released later on Thursday will
provide another readout on the U.S. inflation picture.
EYES ON ENERGY
Investors are still watching discussions between Washington,
Tehran and mediators on any end to the Iran war and the
potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, although a deal
appears to be out of reach with attacks on ships occurring this
week and both sides stepping up their rhetoric.
The stalemate is keeping oil prices elevated, although well
below their highs from May.
On Thursday Brent was down about 2% to $87.30 per barrel,
although that was still up about 45% from its pre-war level.
Economists and investors polled by Reuters expect the
European Central Bank to raise interest rates once more next
month, as high energy prices push inflation further from the
bank's 2% target.
Markets are pricing in around a 90% chance of a
quarter-point rate hike at next month's meeting.
Germany's two-year yield, which is sensitive to
changes in interest rate expectations, was down about 1 basis
point at 2.765%.