* Markets lower chances of Fed September rate hike
* Brent crude falls about 2%
* Markets, economists still expect ECB to hike in September
(Updates prices, recasts top five paragraphs to reflect soft
PPI data)
By Samuel Indyk
LONDON, Aug 13 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields declined on
Thursday as oil prices retreated and the latest round of U.S.
inflation data further cooled expectations for a rate hike from
the Federal Reserve next month.
Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the
euro zone, was down 2.6 basis point at 3.13% after data showed
the U.S. producer price index was unchanged in July. It followed
Wednesday's benign U.S. consumer price inflation data.
The soft data led traders to further pare back expectations
of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September. Fed funds futures
now show a 31% probability of a September hike, down from 40% on
Wednesday and 55% a week earlier.
U.S. price data is closely watched, given the size of the
U.S. economy and the influence of the Fed on other central banks
and global markets.
Noel Dixon, senior macro strategist at State Street, said
the components of Thursday's report that feed into the personal
consumption expenditures data due later this month suggest that
the report "should be pretty good."
"My takeaway from that number and yesterday's number is that
it helps to make the case for the Fed staying on hold in
September," Dixon said.
EYES ON ENERGY
Investors are still watching discussions between Washington,
Tehran and mediators on any end to the Iran war and the
potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, although a deal
appears to be out of reach with attacks on ships occurring this
week and both sides stepping up their rhetoric.
The stalemate is keeping oil prices elevated, although well
below their highs in May.
On Thursday, Brent was down about 2% to $87.20 per barrel,
although that was still up about 45% from its pre-war level.
Economists and investors polled by Reuters expect the European
Central Bank to raise interest rates once more next month, as
high energy prices push inflation further from the bank's 2%
target.
Markets are pricing in around a 90% chance of a
quarter-point rate hike at next month's ECB meeting.
Germany's two-year yield, which is sensitive to
changes in interest rate expectations, was down about 1 basis
point at 2.759%.