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Euro zone bond yields lower
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US yields drop after soft data
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Easing trade tensions remain in focus
(Updates to close)
By Lucy Raitano
LONDON, May 15 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields fell on
Thursday, taking cues from U.S. Treasuries as soft inflation,
retail sales and factory data kept Federal Reserve rate cuts on
the table for later this year.
Germany's 10-year yield, the euro area's
benchmark, was down 5.5 basis points (bps) to 2.638%, though it
remained close to an almost one-month high of 2.7% reached
earlier in the day.
Germany's 2-year yield, more sensitive to
changes in expectations for monetary policy, was down 6 bps at
1.884%.
U.S.
producer prices unexpectedly fell
in April, pulled down by ebbing demand for air travel and
hotel accommodation. Meanwhile,
retail sales growth slowed
last month and
industrial output remained unchanged
.
"To me it's more about a U.S. story rather than a
European story, of course bunds trade in tandem with treasuries
... the biggest driver for bund yields is actually not European
domestics right now, it's much more external factors," Mohit
Kumar, chief economist and strategist for Europe at Jefferies,
said.
U.S. Treasury yields fell across the curve, with the
10-year benchmark down 4 bps at 4.4966%.
The data was "friendly for inflation and Fed cuts", said
Kenneth Broux, senior strategist at Societe Generale in London.
Markets are pricing in about 55 bps of easing from the
Federal Reserve by the end of the year, implying two
quarter-point rate cuts and about a 20% chance of a third.
The first rate cut for the Fed is fully priced at the
September meeting.
Investors are also pricing in about 50 basis points of
cuts for the European Central Bank this year, with a 25 basis
point move priced for the June meeting.
Today's data reflects the uncertainty caused by U.S.
President Donald Trump's import tariffs announced on April 2
which sent markets into a tailspin and had investors shunning
U.S. assets, including Treasuries.
On Monday, the U.S. and China announced a truce,
lowering tariffs for 90 days, which sent equities higher across
the globe, although analysts still expect market volatility to
continue this year.
"The policymaking itself is generating considerable
uncertainty and to our minds this uncertainty has not been
dispelled by the de-escalation" said Richard McGuire, head of
rates strategy at Rabobank.
Italy's 10-year yield fell 5.5 bps to
3.659%, keeping the spread between Italian and German 10-year
yields at about 99 bps, close to its tightest level since April
2021.