* Markets expect the ECB to keep depo rate unchanged on
Thursday
* Investors price in 45 basis points of tightening by
year-end
* Oil prices above $90/barrel
(Updates for European afternoon trading)
By Samuel Indyk
LONDON, July 21 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields
were slightly higher on Tuesday as Brent crude futures rose back
above $90 per barrel, threatening the inflation outlook and
strengthening the case for tighter policy from the European
Central Bank.
Investors were also watching Britain's gilt market after new
Prime Minister Andy Burnham picked former defence minister John
Healey - who was a junior minister in the Treasury from 2002 to
2007 - as his finance minister.
Germany's 10-year bond yield was up over 2 basis
points (bps) at 3.175%, its highest level in over eight weeks.
ALL ABOUT ENERGY
Bond markets have been driven by energy prices in recent
weeks, according to Hauke Siemssen, rates strategist at
Commerzbank.
Energy prices have been rising following military strikes by
both the United States and Iran, with maritime traffic through
the vital Strait of Hormuz chokepoint effectively shut down.
Brent futures rose over 2% on Tuesday but were just below a
five-week high reached on Monday of $91.42 per barrel. Benchmark
Dutch wholesale gas prices rose to their highest
intraday level in four months on the same day, adding to worries
about inflation before the ECB's policy announcement on
Thursday.
Markets expect the central bank to hold its deposit rate
steady at 2.25%, following a rate rise in June.
Further ahead, investors were pricing in about 45 basis
points of tightening from the ECB by the end of the year, or the
equivalent of one quarter-point rate hike and an 80% chance of a
second.
"What the market is pricing in terms of ECB hikes is a lot,"
said Commerzbank's Siemssen.
"A hike in September can be justified with the inflation
figures, but then I think the bar will be high for another hike
into restrictive territory as they have to keep an eye on
growth," he added.
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is sensitive
to changes in ECB policy expectations, was up 1.5 bps at 2.793%
after touching a two-year high of 2.8174% on Monday.
Meanwhile, Britain's gilts slightly outperformed after PM
Burnham's choice of Healey as finance minister.
"The Prime Minister's surprise pick ... might help at the
margin, as he was seen as more market-friendly than most
alternatives," said Rob Wood, chief UK economist at Pantheon
Macro.
Britain's benchmark 10-year gilt yield was flat
at 5.034%. Bond yields move inversely with prices.