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German 10-year bond yields rise for 4th straight session
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Euro zone bond yields climb amid reduced ECB rate cut bets
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German investor morale improves, ZEW index shows
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New supply from euro zone, Germany, Italy, Netherlands,
according to LSEG IFR
(Updates throughout after European morning trading)
By Medha Singh
May 13 (Reuters) - A selloff in euro zone bonds
continued on Tuesday as investors pared back bets on interest
rate cuts by the European Central Bank after a
faster-than-expected de-escalation in the U.S.-China trade war
eased worries about a sharp global slowdown.
Germany's 10-year yield, the euro area's
benchmark, rose 3.4 basis points (bps) to 2.671%, while the
two-year yield, more sensitive to ECB policy rates,
was up 1.9 bps at 1.94%. Both were at levels last seen on April
10.
Traders now expect the ECB deposit facility rate to be
at 1.81% by year-end, up from 1.67% late Friday. The deposit
rate is currently at 2.25%.
Euro zone bonds sold off alongside other safe-haven assets
on Monday after weekend talks between U.S. and Chinese
negotiators yielded a 90-day pause in their tit-for-tat trade
dispute and sharply lowered the tariffs the world's top two
economies had imposed on each other.
"There's very clearly upside risk for the broader risk
asset spectrum now as markets will likely extrapolate a higher
likelihood of further deals in the coming weeks," said Max
Kettner, chief multi-asset strategist at HSBC.
Longer-dated bonds were hit harder on Tuesday, with
yields on the 30-year German bond up 4.6 bps at
3.13%.
The European Commission is analysing the trade deal
struck last week between the United States and Britain for
implications for the bloc and global trade, European Economic
Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis
said
on Monday.
German investor morale rose more than expected in May,
recovering from its sharp decline the previous month, the
ZEW economic research institute
said.
All eyes will be on the U.S. Consumer Price Index for
April due at 1230 GMT, which could show the economic impact of
the trade war on U.S. consumers.
"Even if some of the hard data surprises negatively in
the coming weeks, markets may well shrug that off as being
driven by the 'pre-China-tariff' world and thus no longer
relevant," Kettner said. "Continued resilience in the hard data
or even upside surprises on the other hand would likely be taken
as a positive - a classic win-win situation."
Italy's 10-year yield rose 3.2 bps to 3.71%,
leaving the spread between Italian and German yields - a market
gauge of the risk premium investors demand to hold Italian debt
- at 102 bps.
The European Central Bank will stand by its aggressive
stimulus policy of the last decade in a strategy review,
side-stepping calls for self-criticism after a bout of high
inflation and sizeable losses, several ECB policymakers told
Reuters.
The review, which began in March, will address some big
questions about the way the ECB works. The document is likely to
be finalised in early summer.
In a busy day for bond issuance, there is new supply
coming in from the euro zone, Germany, Italy and the
Netherlands, according to LSEG IFR.