Feb 3 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields rose
on Tuesday, taking the lead from U.S. Treasuries as markets
assessed how Kevin Warsh, tapped to be the next Federal Reserve
chair, could shape the Fed's policy trajectory.
Warsh, President Donald Trump's nominee to be Fed chair, has
called on the central bank to lower rates, highlighting stronger
productivity growth from AI. But he has also called for a
smaller balance sheet, a combination analysts say points to a
steeper yield curve.
Germany's 10-year government bond yield, the
euro area's benchmark, rose one basis point (bp) to 2.88%. It
reached 2.94% in March last year when Germany announced plans to
massively increase fiscal spending.
U.S. Treasury yields rose in early London trade with the
10-year up one bp at 4.28%, after rising on Monday as traders
considered Warsh's potential impact on monetary policy.
German two-year government bond yields recorded in January
their largest monthly drop since last April, driven lower by
investors betting the European Central Bank will factor in the
deflationary drag from a stronger euro as it considers monetary
policy.
They two-year yields were flat at 2.09%.
Money markets priced in around a 200% chance of an ECB rate
cut in September, and indicated a 30%
probability of a rate hike in April 2027.
The euro was at 1.18 against the greenback after hitting a
five-year high at 1.20 last week after U.S. President Donald
Trump said the value of the dollar was "great", when asked
whether he thought it had declined too much.
France's 10-year government bond yields were
roughly unchanged. The gap versus Bunds was at 56 bps, after
tightening to 53.50 in mid-January, its lowest level since
August 2008.
Italy's 10-year yields rose 0.5 bps to 3.50%.
The gap versus Bunds was at 60 bps.