(Updates thoroughly)
By Stefano Rebaudo and Joice Alves
March 14 (Reuters) -
Euro zone bond yields rose on Thursday after
hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data left investors
wondering if the Federal Reserve will cut rates in June, as
markets expect, or later.
U.S. producer price index rose 0.6% in February, exceeding
forecasts of 0.3% and the previous month's increase. This
follows Tuesday's surprisingly sticky consumer prices for
February.
Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the
euro zone, was last up 6.5 basis points (bps) at 2.42%. Bond
prices move inversely with yields.
Italy's 10-year yield rose 8 bps to 3.66%,
after earlier in the day falling to its lowest level since late
December.
Yields on both side of the Atlantic have been on the
rise this week as traders speculated whether persistent
inflation may convince the Fed to hold off on cutting rates
until after June, the timeframe currently priced in by markets.
"U.S. producer price data surprised on the upside, which
is adding to fears that inflation pressures are building, and
central banks may not be able to cut interest rates as fast as
predicted," said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.
In the meantime, European Central Bank policymakers
continued to line up behind a June interest rate cut but on
Thursday offered
contrasting views
on the timing and pace of further moves, suggesting there
is no consensus yet within the Governing Council.
The yield spread between Italian and German 10-year
government bonds, a gauge of the risk premium
investors ask to hold bonds of the euro area's most indebted
countries - was last at 124 basis points. Earlier in day, it hit
115.40 bps, its lowest level since mid January.
Investors are closely watching the spreads' tightening
across bond markets as they put aside concerns about Italy's
budget deficit and reckon that a resilient economy will control
the critical debt-to-GDP ratio.
Italy's budget deficit was far higher than targeted last
year, but its public debt still fell thanks to strong inflation
and higher-than-expected economic growth, data showed on Friday.
"As even the budget deficit figures interrupted the spread
tightening only for one day, a global risk reversal would
probably be needed to turn things around," said Hauke Siemssen,
rate strategist at Commerzbank.
"Yesterday's ECB announcements did nothing to counter the
solid BTP spread tightening trend, which remains driven by the
hunt for carry," Siemssen said, referring to the European
Central Bank's operational framework review.
The ECB wants to wean banks off free cash but will try to do
so gently enough not to upset the financial system or lending,
as the result of its long-awaited review showed.