* Euro zone bond yields nudge higher
* Traders weigh hawkish shift from Fed
* Markets pricing in one more ECB rate hike this year
(Updates throughout)
By Sophie Kiderlin
LONDON, June 18 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields picked up
on Thursday as traders weighed a hawkish shift from the Federal
Reserve in a busy week for global central banks, while the U.S.
and Iran said they signed a deal that would reopen the Strait of
Hormuz.
Yet some tensions appeared to remain, even as the U.S. and
Iran released an interim agreement to end the war, with
President Donald Trump threatening to resume attacks and kill
Iranian officials if they failed to honour their commitments.
Brent crude futures were last down around 1.2% at
$78.57 a barrel, trading around early-March levels.
The yield on the German 10-year bond, the
benchmark for the euro zone, rose roughly one basis point to
2.9359% after declining for five consecutive days. That price
rally - yields move inversely to prices - was the longest since
mid-February and came as optimism about the Iran war ending
grew.
The conflict has seen government bonds come under pressure,
with yields jumping as the outlook for inflation and interest
rates shifted due to the war-related oil price shock.
The German 10-year bond yield is still close to 30 basis
points above its pre-war levels.
EYES ON CENTRAL BANKS' REACTIONS TO IRAN WAR
Another driving force for markets this week has been central
bank interest rate decisions, especially the eagerly anticipated
debut meeting for new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh.
As expected, the Fed held interest rates steady on
Wednesday. But new quarterly projections showed that nine
policymakers now see a hike in rates by the end of 2026. And an
updated policy statement removed language that had been used to
flag the likelihood of further reductions in borrowing costs
this year.
Short-term U.S. Treasury yields rose sharply on Wednesday as
expectations for tighter Fed policy grew.
Warsh was appointed by Trump earlier this year with an
expectation that he would deliver the rate cuts the president
has called for. And markets have been eager to see how the new
Fed chair would approach policy-making.
"Aside from the (unanimous) decision itself, Warsh already
left some marks," said Erik Liem, rates strategist at
Commerzbank.
"The monetary policy statement is much more streamlined and
concise," he noted, adding that the Fed would restrict its
communication to key information.
Liem also pointed out that Warsh does not seem to think
forward guidance is a good tool.
Attention on Thursday was also on central banks elsewhere,
with the Swiss National Bank and Bank of England both leaving
rates unchanged.
Their decisions come after the European Central Bank last
week raised rates, with the Bank of Japan following suit earlier
this week.
Markets have been paying close attention to comments from
policymakers as they have tried to assess what impact the Iran
war might have on the economy, with worries about rising
inflation, higher rates and weaker economic growth taking hold.
Money markets were last pricing in at least one more rate
hike from the ECB this year, with a chance of a second.
The yield on the German 2-year bond, which is more sensitive
to rate and inflation expectations, was last up 4.6 basis points
to 2.6296%.