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Euro zone bond yields edge lower
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Markets await US date
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Relief on easing trade tensions fades
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Euro zone
(Updates latest price moves, adds quotes, euro zone flash news,
further context on US-China trade tensions)
By Lucy Raitano
LONDON, May 15 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields slipped
on Thursday as traders await key U.S. data due later in the
session for a steer on the world's biggest economy, while relief
on easing trade tensions faded, pushing some flows into fixed
income.
Germany's 10-year yield, the euro area's
benchmark, was down 2 basis points (bp) to 2.674%, though it
remained close to a multi-week high of 2.7% hit on Wednesday.
German 2-year yields, more sensitive to
changes in expectations for European Central Bank policy, were
off 3 bps at 1.911% while Italy's 10-year yield fell 1 bp to
3.703%.
Markets are betting on a 25-bps cut at the European
Central Bank's next meeting in June.
"We pulled back a bit but fundamentally I think we have
an upward pressure on rates," Mohit Kumar, chief economist and
strategist for Europe at Jefferies, said.
"That said, to me it's more about a U.S. story rather
than a European story, of course bunds trade in tandem with
treasuries ... the biggest driver for bund yields is actually
not European domestics right now, it's much more external
factors," Kumar said.
Closely-watched U.S. data due later on Thursday includes
April retail sales and jobless figures.
The figures will give investors an insight into the
state of the U.S. economy amid worries about U.S. President
Donald Trump's tariffs announced six weeks ago which traders
fear are driving U.S. inflation and raising the risk of a global
recession.
A relief rally spurred by a U.S.-China truce on Monday
has faded. Even so, the S&P 500 is now above where it was before
April 2.
"There seems to be a mispricing, it's odd that equities
are higher now than where they were before Trump announced the
tariffs," Richard McGuire, head of rates strategy at Rabobank,
said. The effective tariff rate is still notably higher than it
was before April 2, he added.
"The de-escalating of the trade war to our mind doesn't
address what we believe to be the key element here... you don't
need to worry about the details of the policy making, but the
volatility."
"The policymaking itself is generating considerable
uncertainty and to our minds this uncertainty has not been
dispelled by the de-escalation" McGuire said.
Elsewhere, official figures showed Britain's economy
grew by a better-than-expected 0.2% in March, while Q1 GDP
figures for the euro zone showed the economy grew slower than
initially estimated, but employment held up well.
Traders are also digesting data showing euro zone
industrial output unexpectedly surged in March.
The spread between Italian and German yields - a market
gauge of the risk premium investors demand to hold Italian debt
- was at 100.20 bps, after reaching 93.80 on
Tuesday, its lowest since April 2021.