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Germany's 10-year bond yield holds near six-week high
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Fed's hawkish stance raises U.S. yields
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ECB expected to keep rates steady
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Minimal ECB easing expected next year
LONDON, November 17 (Reuters) - Germany's 10-year
government bond yield was steady on Monday but holding near its
highest in almost six weeks as external factors continued to
drive euro zone bond markets, including rising treasury and gilt
yields.
Germany's 10-year yield, the euro zone
benchmark, was little changed at 2.715% after touching its
joint-highest since October 7 at 2.718%.
With European Central Bank policy on hold, the focus is
elsewhere, mainly on expectations for U.S. Federal Reserve
policy.
Money market traders have trimmed bets on a U.S. rate cut
next month as policymakers have sounded the alarm about sticky
inflation, even as the labour market looks to be cooling.
"It's not just the drumbeat of more hawkish FOMC members has
grown louder, but it also became clear last week that FOMC
participants considered centrist-to-dovish already had turned
considerably more hawkish by the October meeting." SGH Macro's
chief U.S. economist Tim Duy said of the Fed's main policy
body.
The more hawkish turn from Fed officials has pushed U.S.
yields higher, with the benchmark 10-year yield at
4.13%, up about 20 basis points from its October 22 low.
The end of the U.S. government shutdown means that markets
and the Fed will have some long-awaited official data to parse
this week, including September's delayed jobs report on
Thursday.
While markets have lowered expectations for U.S. interest
rate cuts, expectations for ECB policy remain firmly anchored.
Investors expect the ECB to keep rates steady again next month,
with less than 10 basis points of easing priced in for next
year.
Germany's two-year yield, which is sensitive to
changes in ECB rate expectations, was little changed at 2.036%.