(Updates at 1013 GMT)
By Samuel Indyk
LONDON, Aug 13 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields were
little changed on Tuesday as recent volatility in financial
markets continued to ebb, with markets waiting for the release
of U.S. inflation data for hints on when the Federal Reserve
might ease policy.
Focus is turning to Wednesday's U.S. consumer price figures,
with investors looking for signs that inflation is slowing
enough for the Fed to lower rates next month and by how much.
Futures markets are evenly split on whether the central bank
will lower borrowing costs by 25 or 50 basis points in
September, having last week fully priced in a half-point move
when concerns about the U.S. economy sent bond yields and stocks
tumbling.
"We're sitting and waiting for tomorrow," said Jens Peter
Sørensen, director, fixed income research at Dankse Bank. "We
have the expectation that the Fed is going to cut rates but it's
more a matter of how much and for how long."
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone, was steady at 2.227%. It hit its lowest since
January at 2.074% last week.
Bond yields tumbled last Monday as investors turned to the
relative safety of government bonds following a collapse in
global equities, as markets fretted about the strength of the
economy following disappointing U.S. jobs data.
Stronger U.S. data since then has soothed those concerns and
helped yields recover.
But while U.S. data is signalling a slowdown in growth
rather than an outright recession, data from the euro zone
continues to paint a more sombre picture.
German investor morale worsened by more than expected in
August, posting its strongest decline in two years, the ZEW
economic research institute said on Tuesday.
"The economic outlook for Germany is breaking down," said
ZEW president Achim Wambach.
Having cut rates in June, markets are assigning around a 90%
chance that the European Central Bank moves again in September
with a quarter-point cut, following a pause in July.
Germany's policy-sensitive two-year yield was
down 2 basis points (bps) at 2.378% but remained above last
week's low of 2.151%, its lowest since March 2023.
Italy's 10-year yield was 1 bp lower at 3.631%,
narrowing the yield gap between Italian and German 10-year bonds
to 140 bps.