June 18 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields
edged lower on Tuesday, with investors awaiting U.S. economic
data later in the session while closely watching political
developments in France.
The risk premium investors demand to hold French government
bonds dropped from its recent highs amid hopes France's National
Rally will backtrack on fiscally expensive pledges should it win
coming elections.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro area, fell one basis point (bp) to 2.40%, after falling
26 bps last week.
The gap between French and German 10-year government bond
yields - a gauge of risk premium on French
government bonds - narrowed 1.5 bps to 72.7 bps after hitting
82.34 bps on Friday, its highest level since February 2017.
Italy's 10-year yield was down 3.5 bps at 3.91%,
while the Italian-German yield gap narrowed
slightly to 150 bps.
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is more
sensitive to European Central Bank rate expectations, was 0.5
bps higher at 2.82%.
Money markets price in a cumulative 65 bps of European
Central Bank rate cuts by year-end,
implying a further 25 bps move and a 60% chance of a third cut
in 2024. They also discount 47 bpd from the Fed this year.