May 27 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields dropped on
Tuesday after French inflation data came in weaker than
expected, while concerns about the potential adverse economic
impact of U.S. tariffs persisted.
Borrowing costs edged up on Monday as the U.S. backed away
from its threat to slap 50% tariffs on European imports, before
falling later in the session in the wake of U.S. Treasury market
worries about the effects of erratic U.S. trade policy.
French inflation fell to its lowest level since December
2020 in May, driven by a sharper decline in energy prices and a
slowdown in service costs.
Germany's 10-year government bond yield, the
euro area benchmark, dropped 2 basis points (bps) to 2.54% after
hitting 2.513%, its lowest level since May 8.
U.S. stock indexes rose on Tuesday after tensions between
the United States and the European Union cooled, favouring some
selloff in safe-haven bonds.
On the euro zone front, markets await more inflation data
from Germany, Italy and Spain on Friday.
The normalisation of interest rates in the euro zone is
probably not complete, European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker
Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Tuesday.
However Austrian central bank governor Robert Holzmann, seen
as a hawk, called for a pause in rate cuts until September.
Markets are pricing in a 90% chance of an ECB 25 bps rate
cut next week. They also indicated a deposit facility rate at
1.67% in December, which implies an
additional easing move and an around 30% chance of a third cut
by year-end. The depo rate is currently at 2.25%.
Data showed that the euro zone economic sentiment improved
in May.
The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was
down 5 bps to 4.46%, after a recent selloff on fiscal concerns.
A tax and spending bill which would saddle the U.S. with
more debt now heads to the Senate, with several senators saying
they would seek substantial changes over what is likely to be
weeks of debate.
Market participants expect U.S. regulators to revamp the
"supplementary leverage ratio", reducing the amount of cash
reserves banks must hold and encouraging them to play a larger
role in intermediating Treasury markets.
Italy's 10-year yield dropped one bp to 3.55%,
with the gap between Italian and German yields at
98 bps, after reaching 90.90 bps last week, its lowest level
since March 2021.