(Updates with moves after Trump's social media post)
* Inflation data mixed in major euro zone economies
* ECB seen likely to hike interest rates in June
* Iran deal hopes, oil prices driving rate expectations
By Lucy Raitano and Alun John
LONDON, May 29 (Reuters) - Germany's 10-year bond yield
dropped to its lowest level in seven weeks on Friday as traders
became more hopeful the U.S. and Iran would reach an agreement
that would reopen the crucial Strait of Hormuz.
Bonds across the euro zone rallied in late afternoon
trading in Europe, sending yields lower, after U.S. President
Donald Trump said in a social media post that he would be
meeting with officials in the White House on Friday to make a
final decision on a deal.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the
euro zone, dropped to as low as 2.926%, down around 3 basis
points on the day, its lowest level since April 8. It has fallen
10 bps this week as hopes about a deal grew.
The two-year German bond yield - more sensitive to
ECB interest rate expectations - dropped by a similar amount to
2.53%.
Rate expectations have been swinging on headlines from the
Gulf and resulting moves in oil prices, as traders try to assess
whether high energy costs will spill over into broader price
rises.
"In terms of market reactions, if a deal is agreed upon, we
should see another leg higher in risky assets and lower in
rates. However, positioning suggests that the rates market
should see a greater reaction than equities," Mohit Kumar, chief
European economist at Jefferies, wrote in a note before Trump's
social media post.
EUROPEAN INFLATION DATA PROVIDES MIXED PICTURE
Data released on Friday showed inflation in the euro zone's four
largest economies hovered above the ECB's 2% target for a third
straight month in May.
But the picture was somewhat mixed as German figures were
cooler than expected, the Spanish reading was hotter than
expected, as was Italy's. In France, inflation came in below the
forecast but crept higher on a month-over-month basis.
That data did little to change expectations of an ECB rate hike
next month, which money markets see as all but certain. However,
they have turned more sceptical about policy tightening later in
the year, pricing a second hike by October, but only seeing a
small chance of a third move by the end of the year.
Underscoring policymakers' concern about inflation, ECB research
on Friday showed euro zone consumers, already scarred by the
Ukraine war, have changed their attitudes more quicklyin
response to the Iran conflict, meaning the economic hit could be
deeper and faster.
"Today's inflation data are further cementing the case for a
rate hike," Rabobank analysts said in a note, as they also
flagged a pick-up in consumers' medium-term inflation
expectations.
"However, we still believe that the current backdrop is less
conducive to broader and protracted inflationary pressures than
2021-2022."
Separate data, however, showed France's economy shrank slightly
in the first quarter. A preliminary reading had shown no change
in the euro zone's second-largest economy.