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Euro zone yields track Treasury yields higher
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Federal Reserve expected to leave US rates unchanged
(Updates after afternoon European trading)
By Amanda Cooper and Alun John
LONDON, July 30 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond
yields inched higher on Wednesday, tracking a rise in U.S.
Treasury yields after data showed the U.S. economy rebounded in
the second quarter and the Treasury announced its quarterly
refunding plans.
All eyes were on the U.S. Federal Reserve, which is expected
to keep interest rates on hold later in the day, while investors
continued to take stock of the European Union's trade deal with
the United States and a hefty fall in the euro this week.
German 10-year yields, which serve as the
benchmark for the wider euro zone, were last up just over 1
basis point at 2.70%.
Analysts at Deutsche Bank said in a note that late July and
August is traditionally a strong period for government bonds,
partly due to a seasonal lull in corporate issuance which
results in excess cash being temporarily parked in sovereign
debt.
This would then be reallocated in the September
"back-to-school" issuance wave, they added.
However, with the EU's trade deal with the U.S. removing the
risk of a full-blown trade war, they see Germany's 10-year yield
eventually rising above 3%.
The Fed will announce its rate decision after the European
market close. Investors will be carefully watching U.S.
President Donald Trump's reaction as he has been piling pressure
on the central bank to cut rates.
Euro zone economic growth data showed the single currency
bloc proved more resilient than expected in the second quarter,
expanding by 0.1%, against forecasts for no growth, which
suggested businesses are adapting to the uncertainty around
trade.
"Despite uncertainty prevailing in the first half of the
year, combined (euro zone) growth in the first two quarters has
not disappointed," said Bert Colijn, ING chief economist,
Netherlands.
"For the short term, don't expect miracles, but at the same
time, there are new signs of life starting to emerge for the
euro zone economy."
This growth picture, combined with inflation hovering around
the European Central Bank's 2% target, means traders have been
whittling away their bets on another European Central Bank rate
cut this year.
Germany's rate sensitive two-year yields were up
2 bps at 1.93%.
Other government bonds largely moved in line with the German
benchmark, helping keep spreads tight.
Italy's 10-year yield was up just over 2 bps at 3.55%,
leaving the gap over the German equivalent at just 82 bps.
The gap between French and German 10-year yields was last at 65
basis points, having closed just above 63 bps on Tuesday, the
tightest since the volatility around France's election last
year.