(Updates headline, prices at 1420 GMT)
By Alun John and Joice Alves
LONDON, April 30 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond
yields rose on Tuesday as inflation in the bloc steadied in
March and the economy rebounded in the first quarter, while
separate data showed U.S. labour costs increased more than
expected in the first quarter.
While the U.S. data could remove some pressure on the
Federal Reserve to cut rates, the euro zone figures have not
disrupted market bets on a European Central Bank rate cut in
June - but left the future path open.
The Employment Cost Index (ECI), the broadest U.S. measure
of labour costs, increased 1.2% last quarter. Economists polled
by Reuters had forecast the ECI would advance 1.0%.
In the euro zone, inflation steadied at 2.4% in April,
Tuesday flash data showed. An important indicator of underlying
price pressures slowed, but services inflation was 3.7%, a
decline but possibly still too high for comfort.
Meanwhile, gross domestic product in the 20-country bloc
increased by an above-expectation 0.3% quarter-on-quarter.
The German 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone bloc, was up nearly 5 basis points at 2.57%.
It hit a five-month high of 2.65% last Thursday, but has
since been falling, helped somewhat by initial inflation data
from Germany and Spain on Monday.
"The key point from the data is the ECB can cut in June -
the bar not to is very high - the question is do they then cut
in July," said Andrzej Szczepaniak, senior European economist at
Nomura.
Government bonds remain highly sensitive to changes in
expectations for central bank interest rates. Market pricing
currently indicates a roughly 70% chance of a 25-basis-point ECB
cut in June, and two or three cuts in total this year.
Investors will also be watching the Federal Reserve, which
begins its two-day meeting on Tuesday - no rate change is
expected but chair Jerome Powell's Wednesday post-meeting press
conference will be watched closely given sticky U.S. inflation
and strong growth.
"The new narrative is what happens if we see what we're now
seeing in the U.S. in the euro zone in a few months' time.
Growth is expected to pick up and should services inflationary
pressure remain sticky for longer, that causes problems for the
ECB even if they begin cutting in June," said Szczepaniak.
Italy's 10-year yield was higher by 4.4 bps at
3.86%, and the gap between Italian and German bunds
widened 2 bp to 128.8 bps.
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is more
sensitive to European Central Bank rate expectations, was up 6.6
bps at 3.02%.