LONDON, May 29 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields slipped
on Friday as investors awaited more details on a potential deal
to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and extend the U.S.-Iran
ceasefire, while they assessed some mixed inflation figures in
the euro zone.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the bloc, was steady at 2.9587%.
The two-year German bond yield - more sensitive to
European Central Bank interest rate expectations - fell 1 basis
point to 2.5439%. Yields move inversely to prices.
Yields pared earlier losses after some softer-than-expected
inflation figures out of Germany for May. Hotter-than-expected
Spanish inflation data had earlier weighed on bonds, while in
France inflation came in below forecast but crept higher
month-on-month.
The United States and Iran reached an agreement on Thursday to
extend their ceasefire and lift restrictions on shipping through
the Strait of Hormuz, sources told Reuters, though U.S.
President Donald Trump has yet to approve it and Iranian state
media said it had not been finalised.
Oil steadied at $93.79 a barrel.
"In terms of market reactions if a deal is agreed upon, we
should see another leg higher in risky assets and lower in
rates. However, positioning suggests that the rates market
should see a greater reaction than equities," wrote Mohit Kumar,
chief European economist at Jefferies.
INFLATION JITTERS KEEP OPTIMISM IN CHECK
Kenneth Broux, head of corporate research for FX and rates
at Societe Generale, said euro zone bonds have been
underperforming U.S. recently.
"Europe as a whole is definitely underperforming the U.S.
after outperforming through May, I wonder how much of the lower
oil price and short-covering in Bunds is priced in. Support for
the 10-year Bund at 2.90% is a hurdle too far for now at least,"
he said.
With the Strait of Hormuz still largely closed and the
global flow of energy disrupted, fears of rising inflation in
the import-dependent euro zone had led traders to ramp up bets
on central bank rate hikes in recent weeks.
The worries subsided as optimism grew around a peace deal.
But key data reads are keeping inflation fears at the
forefront.
Friday's euro zone CPI figures come a day after figures showed
U.S. inflation increased at its fastest pace in three years in
April, cementing economists' views that the Federal Reserve
would hold interest rates unchanged well into next year.
Also out on Friday was data showing France's economy shrank
slightly in the first quarter, missing the preliminary reading
of 0.0% for the euro zone's second-largest economy.
European Central Bank research showed on Friday that euro zone
consumers, already scarred by the Ukraine war, have changed
their attitudes more quickly as a result of the upheaval of the
Iran war, meaning the economic hit could be deeper and faster.
Money markets are betting on a 91% chance of a rate hike at
the ECB's next meeting on June 11.
"For the ECB, we can see one hike (in June), simply because
they have to justify their inflation credibility. However, we do
not see a series of rates hikes and maintain our long position
at the front end of the curve," said Jefferies' Kumar.