Aug 13 (Reuters) - German 30-year bond yields fell on
Wednesday, retreating from a 14-year high hit the previous day,
as investors stepped back from aggressive selling due to
geopolitical uncertainty linked to U.S. President Donald Trump's
efforts to end the Ukraine war.
Analysts said peace in Ukraine would ultimately support
appetite for risk assets and consequently weigh on bond prices,
which move inversely with yields. An end to the fighting could
also lead to increased bond issuance, keeping pressure on
prices, as Europe finances Ukraine's reconstruction.
Analysts were sceptical, however, regarding the prospects
for quick progress after the White House said Friday's Alaska
summit between Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin would
be "a listening exercise for the president".
Germany's 30-year government bond yield was down
5 basis points at 3.25%, after rising 15 bps in the previous
three sessions. It hit 3.3090% on Tuesday, its highest level
since summer 2011.
Policy-sensitive German two-year yields were down
2.5 bps at 1.94%, while German 10-year yields - the
euro area's benchmark - dropped 5 bps to 2.70%.
Analysts mentioned the Dutch pension reform, which is
expected to reduce demand for long-dated bonds, and expectations
for a massive increase in German fiscal spending as the main
drivers of Tuesday's sell-off.
They expect a growing imbalance between bond demand and
supply to weigh on prices.
Tuesday's move steepened curves across the euro area - a
dynamic that occurs when long-dated yields rise faster than
short-dated ones - reversing a flattening trend that had
persisted almost uninterrupted since mid-July.
"We have been in the steepener camp, not just for the U.S.,
but globally," said Mohit Kumar, economist at Jefferies.
"In the U.S., the long end is unlikely to rally given
credibility and fiscal concerns. In Europe, the long end would
be under pressure," he added.
The gap between 2-year and 30-year German bond yields
tightened to 131 bps from 135 bps the day before.
Tuesday's U.S. inflation data is expected to have little
impact on the Federal Reserve's policy path, with markets still
pricing in a more than 90% chance of a rate cut in September.
"We see little in the July consumer price report to push the
Fed decisively toward a September rate cut. We look to the
August payrolls release for the final word," said Andy
Schneider, senior U.S. economist at BNP Paribas.
Italy's 10-year yield was down 6 bps at 3.50%.