* European tech shares soar since early April
* Iran war clouds broader stock market
* Some analysts say rally has further to run
By Dhara Ranasinghe
LONDON, May 22 (Reuters) - A strong rally in tech stocks
has largely gone under the radar against a darkening backdrop
for European equity markets as the energy shock triggered by the
Iran war dampens economic growth.
The war has paused "Make Europe Great Again" trades, with the
region's shares expected to underperform U.S. peers as long as
it persists. Data shows euro zone economic activity fell at its
sharpest rate in more than two-and-a-half years in May.
Yet research from TS Lombard shows two baskets of AI-related
shares account for more than two-thirds of the positive
performance in European stocks over the past month and a half.
"The performance of our EU AI baskets since April is on par
with the Nasdaq, just a touch behind Taiwan," said TS Lombard
European and global macro director Davide Oneglia, referring to
the U.S. index and Taiwan's bourse.
"Look through macro chaos and don't ignore European AI
winners," Oneglia added.
One TS Lombard AI basket, made up of firms in the semiconductor
supply chain such as ASML, Infineon and
STMicroelectronics, has rallied by roughly 20% since
the start of April.
The other, up around 22%, is made up of companies in the AI
infrastructure buildout such as data centres and includes
Schneider Electric and Italy's Prysmian.
Gains in European tech shares are dwarfed by a 55% rise in
the South Korean index over the same period, LSEG data
shows. The Nasdaq 100 is up by roughly 21% and Taiwanese stocks
have rallied by around 28%, the TS Lombard report shows.
AI INFRASTRUCTURE BOOST
A renewed focus on AI, highlighted by strong U.S. tech
earnings since early April, as well as a push by Europe to
support tech infrastructure suggest the European tech share
rally could have further to run.
Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset
Management, which manages around $578 billion, noted Europe's
renewed focus on innovation which has begun to show in the last
two years in defence, energy security and AI infrastructure.
"You are seeing capital expenditure into those areas. We do
think that those kinds of secular themes have remained pretty
strong and probably have been actually reinforced by the
conflict," said Shah.
Even after recent gains, European tech shares have a cheaper
valuation than U.S. competitors. The European tech stocks
sub-index trades at almost 28 times expected earnings, compared
with almost 35 times for the Nasdaq.
Oneglia said his analysis of European AI stocks focused on
the post-April period because that is when the AI theme
resurfaced globally, with strong earnings and investors changing
their minds on whether AI spending plans were excessive or not.
U.S. tech bellwether Nvidia ( NVDA ) on Wednesday released
first-quarter revenue that beat Wall Street expectations.
While Europe's STOXX 600 index has fallen just over 2% since
the Iran war began on February 28, the region's tech
shares have surged 10% and this week hit their highest level
since 2000.
Tech makes up just 10% of the European benchmark, which is
dominated by financials, industrials and healthcare.