* Options trading expected to be volatile and expensive,
with high investor demand
* Major index inclusion may impact SpaceX options activity
* Options allow both bullish and bearish bets, with high
costs and risks
By Laura Matthews and Saqib Iqbal Ahmed
NEW YORK, June 12 (Reuters) - Investors will soon get a new
way to bet on SpaceX's trajectory: options on the stock
are set to begin trading as soon as Tuesday, with early activity
expected to be heavy, volatile, and likely expensive.
Options on Elon Musk's rocket and spacecraft manufacturer will
follow its record trading debut on Friday, when shares jumped
more than 25%, pushing its valuation above $2 trillion as
investors piled in to bet on the sprawling empire, which spans
rockets to AI.
Options exchange Cboe Global Markets ( CBOE ) expects options to
start trading Tuesday, a spokesperson said. Market participants
expect a broad mix of investors to likely enter once options
begin trading, from shareholders seeking downside protection to
traders positioning for volatility in the stock.
"I expect explosive demand," said Ophir Gottlieb, chief
executive of Capital Market Laboratories. "The largest IPO ever
attached to one of the most controversial founders ever,
pursuing what might be one of the most ambitious long-term goals
ever, will equally generate some of the largest initial option
volume in dollars ever."
Options, which give holders the right but not the obligation
to buy or sell shares at a predetermined price within a certain
period, offer investors a low-cost way to gain exposure to a
company's stock and to express their views on short-term price
moves and longer-term positioning.
They usually list within days of the stock's debut. SpaceX
opened at $150 on Friday, up from its $135 IPO price, and was
trading around $172 in afternoon activity, making it the
sixth-largest U.S. company by market value at more than $2
trillion.
EXPECT UPS AND DOWNS
If SpaceX behaves anything like the shares of Elon Musk's
electric vehicle company Tesla, it will be more volatile than
the average stock, driving options activity.
Tesla's five-year beta - a measure of volatility - is 1.81,
according to LSEG data, where a reading of 1 means a stock's
volatility is in line with the market.
"I think we're going to see a lot of volatility in the
underlying stock," said Seth Hickle, chief investment officer at
Mindset Wealth Management, adding that implied volatility in
options could be "very high".
Investors expect activity to build around key events, including
the company's first quarterly report as a public entity and
potential major equity index inclusions. Nasdaq has already
adjusted its rules to ease SpaceX's entry into the Nasdaq 100.
MSCI said it will apply early inclusion rules for large IPOs,
while S&P Global has ruled out fast-track inclusion into the
broad-market S&P 500.
"We have been asked the question, 'What day will the options
be listed?' more times than any IPO I can remember," said Chris
Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna, a market
maker.
Skeptics can also use options to express bearish views without
the risk of shorting SpaceX shares outright, although it will
not be cheap.
"With a short, your risk is theoretically unlimited, your
borrow costs can be punishing, and in a thin float like SPCX's,
a short squeeze can wipe you out before you're ever proven right
on the fundamentals," said Luke Lango, chief technology analyst
at financial research firm InvestorPlace.