MUMBAI, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Indian government bond
yields edged lower in early trade on Wednesday, tracking a
further drop in U.S. Treasury yields, as investors anticipated
dovish signals from the Federal Reserve later in the day.
The yield on the 10-year benchmark was at
6.4797% as of 10:00 a.m. IST, after ending at 6.4925% on
Tuesday.
"Looking at Treasuries as well as the rupee, confidence that
yields will have a meaningful decline has grown, prodding
traders to add fresh longs," trader with a state-run bank said.
The Fed's decision is due after Indian market hours, with a
25-basis-points cut already priced in and a slim chance of a
50-basis-points move.
"The key focus is likely on the Fed's forward guidance,
specifically whether the dot plot signals a faster pace of cuts
through the rest of 2025 and into 2026," MUFG said in a note.
"The updated Summary of Economic Projections will also shed
light on the Fed's expectations for growth, inflation, and
unemployment rate."
The odds of an aggregate of 75 bps of rate cuts from now
through December stand at 74%, according to the CME FedWatch
Tool.
Back home, traders await fresh debt supply as New Delhi
plans to sell 300 billion rupees ($3.42 billion) of benchmark
bonds on Friday, followed by the release of the second-half
borrowing calendar.
The Reserve Bank of India will also auction treasury bills
worth 210 billion rupees later in the day.
Bond traders have urged RBI to cut the share of ultra-long
bonds in the supply schedule for October-March.
RATES
India's overnight index swaps are expected dip tracking bond
yields, on anticipation of a dovish Fed.
The one-year OIS rate and the two-year OIS
rates were not yet traded, while the liquid
five-year OIS rate was lower at 5.69%.
($1 = 87.7570 Indian rupees)