(Updates at market close)
By Khushi Malhotra
MUMBAI, June 18 (Reuters) - Indian government bonds extended
gains for a sixth straight session on Thursday as falling oil
prices outweighed pressure from the U.S. Federal Reserve's
hawkish outlook, pushing the benchmark 10-year yield near a more
than three-month low.
Oil prices fell again after the United States and Iran
released the text of an interim agreement aimed at ending the
war, raising expectations that the Strait of Hormuz could
reopen.
Brent crude futures fell 0.1% in Asian trade to
$78.50 per barrel. The contract is now only about $6 above
pre-war levels.
The yield on the benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond
fell 2.4 basis points to 6.8387% on Thursday, down over 10 basis
points in six sessions.
The bond rally showed investors were putting more weight on
lower oil prices than on the Fed's hawkish signal, with cheaper
crude improving India's inflation and fiscal outlook.
"Indian markets are responding positively to U.S.-Iran deal
prospects, which have led to a sharp drop in crude oil prices,
further aided by recent RBI measures to attract foreign flows,"
said Amit Modani, senior fixed income manager at Shriram AMC.
Indian bonds and the rupee had come under pressure in early
trade after the Fed delivered a surprise hawkish tilt in its
policy outlook, even as it kept rates unchanged. Nine of the 18
Fed policymakers pencilled in a rate hike, far more than
analysts expected.
Traders also pointed to foreign buying, which helped reverse
early losses. New Delhi's tax cuts and RBI reforms have drawn
overseas investors to Indian debt, with foreign investors
pouring more than $2.2 billion into government bonds this month.
RATES
India's overnight index swap rates showed caution, pricing
in the risk of a hawkish Fed and a fragile U.S.-Iran truce.
The one-year swap rate was at 5.89%, while
the two-year rate was at 6.0450%. The
five-year rate was at 6.3225%. The rates rose
1.25-2.75 bps on the day.