MUMBAI, Dec 18 (Reuters) - Indian government bond yields
ended little changed on Wednesday, ahead of the monetary policy
decision from the U.S. Federal Reserve and the accompanying
guidance for 2025.
The benchmark 10-year bond yield ended at
6.7465%, compared with the previous close of 6.7588%.
"Market is waiting for the Fed meeting, and guidance and dot
plot projections would be the thing to watch out for in the
decision," said VRC Reddy, treasury head at Karur Vysya Bank.
The Fed's policy decision will come after Indian markets
close on Wednesday. While the U.S. central bank is widely
expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, markets are
wary of an uncertain outlook and cautious commentary for 2025.
With inflation in the world's largest economy remaining
comfortably above the central bank's 2% target, markets fear the
Fed may cite inflationary pressures to indicate a pause in rates
in the early part of the next year.
The debt market will also focus on the Fed's quarterly
economic projections and the updated dot plot for 2025. The dot
plot released in September showed a policy rate of 3.4% by the
end of 2025.
U.S. rate futures have priced in about two rate cuts in
2025, according to LSEG calculations.
The odds of a 25-bp cut were over 95%, while that for a
similar move in January stood at a mere 16%, according to the
CME FedWatch Tool.
Locally, investors are waiting for debt supply and minutes
of the Reserve Bank of India's December meeting, both due on
Friday.
The RBI maintained status quo on policy rates earlier this
month but infused liquidity into the banking system through a
cut in banks' cash reserve ratio.
Traders remained vigilant regarding the local currency,
which continued to decline to record lows, while cash shortage
within the banking system weighed on sentiment.