MUMBAI, Aug 22 (Reuters) - Indian government bond yields
ended a tad lower, with the 10-year benchmark yield failing to
break below the 6.85% mark, while investors awaited guidance
from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for further
direction.
The benchmark 10-year yield ended at 6.8521%
as compared to its previous close of 6.8578%.
"Bond yields have stayed rangebound since the last few days,
with major focus now remaining on comments from Federal Reserve
Chair," said Aneesh Srivastava, executive director and chief
investment officer at Star Health Insurance.
Bond yields fell as U.S. peers declined on Wednesday, after
the revised jobs data and minutes of the Fed's July meeting
reinforced expectations that the rate-cut cycle will start in
September.
U.S. employers added fewer jobs than originally reported,
underscoring the growing concerns about the labour market.
Meanwhile, Fed minutes showed a vast majority of members
saying that a September cut was likely, with some even willing
to reduce rates at last month's meeting.
The odds of a 50 basis points cut in September stood around
32%, while bets of a 100 bps cut in 2024 have firmed up further,
as per the CME FedWatch tool.
However, comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday at
the Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming will be a key trigger for
the bond markets.
"If Powell indicates only 25 bps cut in September, I will
not be surprised if there is some selloff, but if he indicates
50 bps of move for September, then the India 10-year yield could
see a push towards 6.80% mark," Star Health's Srivastava added.
Local market participants will also keep an eye on the
minutes of the Reserve Bank of India's August meeting, due later
in the day. The central bank had kept its key interest rate and
policy stance unchanged.