(Updates at market close)
By Khushi Malhotra
MUMBAI, June 17 (Reuters) - A relief rally in Indian
government bonds stalled on Wednesday as oil prices consolidated
and the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve policy verdict kept risk
appetite in check.
The yield on the benchmark 6.94% 2036 note
settled at 6.8626%, versus 6.8651% on Tuesday. The 10-year yield
has eased 8 basis points in a week and hovered at a 12-week low.
Brent crude futures fell below $80 a barrel for the first
time since early March, but edged higher in Asian trade at
$79.28 per barrel.
U.S President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that the
memorandum of understanding on Iran was not final, and that he
could resume a bombing campaign if he did not like it, making
traders cautious.
The interim deal would end the Iran war, lead to reopening
of the Strait of Hormuz and the US removing its naval blockade
of Iran.
India imports about 90% of its oil needs and is highly
vulnerable to oil swings.
STCI Primary Dealership said in a note that prolonged supply
disruptions could prompt rate hikes from Q3 FY2026-27, depending
on macro conditions.
Traders now await the Fed decision under new chair Kevin
Warsh. While no rate move is expected, hawkish guidance could
widen U.S.-India differentials, dampening foreign investment in
Indian bonds.
Indian policymakers have announced a slew of measures to
boost foreign inflows into Indian debt and equities.
Consequently, overseas investors have poured more than $2
billion into domestic bonds over the past eight sessions,
already surpassing the year-to-date inflows recorded before the
measures were announced.
RATES
India's overnight index swap rates continued to ease,
although at a slower pace.
The one-year swap rate, the two-year rate
and the five-year rate each
pared 1 basis point to 5.88%, 6.04% and 6.2950% respectively.